The UK Food & Grocery report offers a comprehensive insight into the Food & Grocery market in the UK, analysing the sector, the major players, the main trends, and consumer attitudes, as well as providing market forecasts out to 2028.
The value of the UK food & grocery sector rose 7.5% in 2023, driven by double-digit food inflation. Volumes declined 7.1% as consumers adjusted their spending in response to rising prices.
The UK tobacco & e-cigarette market is expected to decline at a CAGR of 0.4% between 2023 and 2028, as the influence of legislative changes and growing health consciousness among consumers creates deeper volume declines.
With consumer budgets squeezed, value for money was ranked the most integral driver of purchases in food & grocery among shoppers.
Scope
The outlook for the food & grocery sector will be softer over the next five years, with the market forecast to increase at a 2.4% CAGR between 2023 and 2028.
Online food & grocery sales will outpace the offline market in 2024.
The food market, representing a substantial 65.6% of the total food & grocery sales, is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with a CAGR of 2.9% between 2023 and 2028.
Reasons to Buy
Using our five year forecasts to 2028, learn which categories in the food & grocery market will be the fastest performing to enable focus and investment in these winning product areas.
Understand how drivers of food & grocery purchases, such as range, price and quality, vary in importance among different demographics to maximise sales potential.
Use our in-depth analysis and forecasts to understand the current and future performances of the different channels, including online and offline.
Executive summary
The UK food and grocery sector is set to grow at a slower rate between 2023 and 2028 than during the previous five-year period
Tobacco & e-cigarette and alcoholic drinks markets to experience declining CAGR growth as consumer preferences shift
Consumer demand for value for money and convenience-led shopping journeys to drive growth in UK food & grocery market
KEY TRENDS
Market drivers
Market inhibitors
Key Trends: Convenience Store Expansion
Key Trends: Own Brand Range Expansion
Key Trends: Online grocery shopping is on the rise
Key Trends: Grocers expand their selection of world foods
Strategies for success
MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS
Five year growth 2018-2028
Market size, 2018-2028
Market Growth Drivers, 2021-2028
CATEGORY PERFORMANCE AND FORECASTS
Key category trends
Food & grocery categories
Market by category %, 2018-2028
Market by Sub Category, 2023 & 2028
CHANNEL PERFORMANCE AND FORECASTS
Online market, 2018-2028
Channel growth, 2018-2028
Market by channel, 2023 and 2028
Channel value and forecast, 2023 and 2028
REVENUE AND MARKET SHARES OF TOP 10 PLAYERS
Top 10 UK Retailers, 2023
Market shares of the top 10 retailers
Top 20 most visited and purchased from retailers for food & grocery, 2024
Food & grocery competitor overlap, 2024
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE: PROFILES OF LEADING PLAYERS
Tesco
Sainsbury's
ASDA
Waitrose & Partners
Brands to watch
CONSUMERS
Key consumer trends
Food & Grocery penetration and profile, 2024
Food & Grocery category penetration, 2024
Food & Grocery channel usage, 2024
Food & Grocery fulfilment methods, 2024
Food & Grocery purchase locations, 2024
Food & Grocery store types, 2024
Food & Grocery device usage, 2024
Food & Grocery purchase frequency, 2024
Food & Grocery consumer drivers, 2024
Food & Grocery rapid delivery, 2024
Rapid delivery usage inhibitors, 2024
Rapid delivery order timing, 2024
Statements about rapid delivery services, 2024
High protein food, 2024
High protein food purchase consideration, 2024
High protein food purchased, 2024
High protein food retailers, 2024
Statements about high protein foods, 2024
Convenience store penetration, 2024
Convenience shopping mission, 2024
Value for money in Food & Grocery Convenience Retailing, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Locations, by Retailer, 2024
Hybrid working pre-pandemic, 2024
Hybrid working during the pandemic, 2024
Hybrid working now, 2024
Hybrid working & purchases, 2024
Convenience visits during lunch break, pre-pandemic and now, 2024
Convenience store shopping during workday, 2024
Grocery store visits after work, pre-pandemic and now, 2024
Grocery store visits after work, pre-pandemic 2024
Statements about purchases while hybrid working, 2024
METHODOLOGY, DEFINITIONS AND CONTACTS
List of Tables
UK Food & Grocery Market by Sub-Category, 2023 & 2028
UK Food & Grocery Channel Value & Forecast, 2023 and 2028
Top 10 UK Food & Grocery Retailers, 2023
UK Food & Grocery Competitor Overlap, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Category Penetration by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Channel Usage by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Fulfilment Methods by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Locations by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Store Types by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Device Usage by Demographic, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Consumer Drivers by Demographic, 2024
Proportion of consumers who have used a supermarket rapid delivery service
UK Food & Grocery Market GBP m, 2018, 2023, 2028 & CAGR %
UK Food & Grocery Market Value GBP m, 2018-2028
UK Food & Grocery Market Annual Growth %, 2018-2028
UK Food & Grocery Market Growth Drivers, 2021-2028
UK Food & Grocery Categories by Value GBP m, 2023 & 2028
UK Food & Grocery Categories by Value Growth %, CAGR 2023-2028
UK Food & Grocery Market by Category %, 2018, 2023, 2028
UK Food & Grocery Online Market Size GBPm and Online Penetration %, 2018-2028
UK Food & Grocery Channel Growth, 2018-2028
UK Food & Grocery Market by Channel, 2023 and 2028
Market Shares of Top 10 UK Food & Grocery Retailers, 2023, 2023 & 2024e
Top 20 Most Visited Retailers for Food & Grocery %, 2024
Top 20 Most Purchased from Retailers for Food & Grocery %, 2024
Tesco UK Food & Grocery sales GBP mil, 2018-2023, and annual growth %
Tesco UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2018-2024e
Tesco UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2024
Sainsbury’s UK Food & Grocery sales GBP mil, 2018-2023, and annual growth %
Sainsbury’s UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2018-2024e
Sainsbury’s UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2024
ASDA UK Food & Grocery sales GBP mil, 2018-2023, and annual growth %
ASDA UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2018-2024e
ASDA UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2024
Waitrose & Partners UK Food & Grocery sales GBP mil, 2018-2023, and annual growth %