Tech, Media and Telecom (TMT) Predictions 2023 - Thematic Intelligence

Tech, Media and Telecom (TMT) Predictions 2023 - Thematic Intelligence

Summary

Companies that invest in the right themes become success stories; those that miss the big themes end up as failures. Given that so many themes are disruptive, it is very easy to be blindsided by industry outsiders that enter your sector. To help businesses in the tech, media, and telecom (TMT) industry stay ahead of the competition and understand what 2023 will hold, GlobalData’s thematic analysts have produced the TMT Predictions 2023 report.

In this report, we identify the top 25 themes that will impact the TMT industry in 2023. We predict how each theme will develop in 2023, provide infographics using data from GlobalData’s intelligence centers, identify winners and losers, and point you towards further reading. This multi-theme report will help you to understand and identify the important themes that threaten to disrupt your business in 2023. Opportunities await those who can exploit the benefits of each theme.

Consumer interest and increasing regulation have afforded environmental, social and governance (ESG) themes greater consideration in company strategy. All large technology companies have a stated commitment to ESG, but their goals, delivery, and reporting can vary substantially. In 2023, consumers will focus on the immediate concerns of rising inflation and the energy crisis, and ESG will be overshadowed.

The combination of inflation, supply chain disruption, and the Russia-Ukraine war will ensure that 2023 is another turbulent year. During the expected recession in many developed markets, consumers will struggle to justify purchasing non-essential products such as smartphones and televisions, resulting in reduced growth for the consumer tech industry. However, the difficult economic climate could present new opportunities for enterprise tech vendors as companies turn to digital transformation to cut costs and improve efficiency.

Cooling interest, economic obstacles, and the immaturity of enabling technologies will lead to a metaverse winter in 2023. The metaverse has been promoted as a revolution in how humans socialize, consume media, and work. This will not happen until the metaverse is regulated, interoperable, and has a common definition, which will not occur in 2023.

Scope

  • Analysis of the 25 most important themes impacting the TMT sector, classified into three groups: technology, macroeconomic, and regulatory. These include ESG, AI, the Ukraine conflict, the metaverse, the future of work, and data privacy.
  • A series of quantitative and qualitative predictions for each theme in 2023, including market forecasts. Infographics are provided for each theme to justify key predictions using survey results and data from GlobalData’s patents, jobs, deals, company filings, and social media analytics databases. Winners and losers are identified in each theme using data from thematic scorecards, driven by GlobalData’s unique thematic methodology.
Reasons to Buy
  • Position yourself for future success by investing in the most important tech, regulatory, and macroeconomic themes in the TMT industry. Informed by GlobalData’s analysts, we provide recommendations on the actions you should take in each theme to improve your standing.
  • Source the leading vendors for the most disruptive themes in the TMT industry from our winners' lists and shortlist potential partners based on their areas of expertise.
  • Quickly identify attractive investment targets by understanding which companies are the most advanced in the themes that will determine future success in the TMT industry.
  • Quantify the global sales opportunity for disruptive tech services by accessing GlobalData’s market size and forecasts, produced by technology, healthcare, automotive, retail, banking, aerospace, defense, and security analysts.


Executive Summary
Top Themes for 2023
Viewing the world’s data by theme helps you make important decisions
ESG
Governments will crack down on greenwashing in 2023
Businesses will become accountable for their Scope 3 emissions
Social media platforms will be pressured to act on climate misinformation
Winners and losers
Further reading
Macroeconomic Outlook
In 2023, the EU and the UK will be in a recession
Economic uncertainty will lead to a reduction in new hiring in H1 2023
Businesses will continue to invest in digital transformation
Tech companies’ supply chains will face increased pressure
Winners and losers
Further reading
Artificial Intelligence
The AI industry will be worth $93 billion in 2023, up 12% from 2022
The urgent need for AI transparency will lead to a growing emphasis on XAI
AI chips will be a key battleground in the US-China tech war
New and updated AI regulations will emerge but remain toothless
Winners and losers
Further reading
Supply Chain Disruption
Supply chain onshoring will accelerate in 2023
Companies will focus on automating their supply chains in 2023
There will be increased scrutiny of a supply chain’s ESG credentials
Winners and losers
Further reading
China
China will double down in its pursuit of 70% self-sufficiency in chips by 2025
Talent cultivation and domestic innovation will be crucial for technological progress
Taiwan tensions will force companies to deglobalize their supply chains
The easing of Zero-COVID will be too little too late
Winners and losers
Further reading
The Ukraine Conflict
Russia’s economy will shrink by 2.5% in 2023
ESG investment will slow down as part of a trade-off with energy security
Conflict signals the end of the low inflation and interest rate era
Conflict signals the start of the new silicon curtain
Further reading
Cybersecurity
Cyber professionals are reaching breaking point
Organizations will prioritize zero-trust capabilities in 2023
AI will be the hallmark of a major attack in 2023
Organizations will receive stricter advice on the payment of ransoms
Winners and losers
Further reading
The Metaverse
The metaverse will be worth $376 billion by 2025, but there will be a winter in 2023
Interoperability will not be achieved in 2023
Digital twins will propel the enterprise metaverse
China’s metaverse investments will outpace the West
Winners and losers
Further reading
The Future of Work
A tight labor market will increase workers’ power
Companies will start accepting the four-day week
Companies will need more than just RPA to realize the full benefits of automation
Winners and losers
Further reading
5G
The 5G rollout will not be derailed by inflation in 2023
5G private networks will propel enterprise use cases in 2023
5G SA capabilities will start to emerge in 2023
Winners and losers
Further reading
Batteries
The global race to secure the lithium supply is heading to the lithium triangle
Supply chain constraints boost research on alternative battery chemistries
The battery recycling world will boom
Winners and losers
Further reading
Future Mobility
New investment will be directed toward EV battery manufacturing in the US
China will represent the largest consumer market for EVs by 2025
Europe will become the leading adopter of semi-autonomous vehicles
In-car media will become a highly competitive market
Winners and losers
Further reading
Robotics
Macroeconomic factors are slowing the autonomous delivery robots market
The commercial drones market will be worth $57 billion by 2030
Medical robots will tackle the growing demand from aging populations
Winners and losers
Further reading
Cloud Computing
The global cloud computing market will be worth $734 billion by the end of 2023
Cloud servers will become more sustainable
Increased adoption of serverless clouds will increase demand for cloud orchestration
Market power will shift towards cloud computing firms, away from chip companies
Winners and losers
Further reading
Blockchain and Cryptocurrency
The FTX collapse will reshape the $840 billion cryptocurrency industry in 2023
The US will continue to push for comprehensive regulation
A growing cryptocurrency ecosystem will drive innovation
The number of blockchain consortia will continue to increase in 2023
Winners and losers
Further reading
Fintech
The global instant payments transactions value will reach $158 trillion by 2025
Consumer demand will drive embedded finance and banking as a service
BNPL regulation will be introduced
Winners and losers
Further reading
Consumer Internet of Things
The consumer IoT market will be worth $250 billion in 2023, up 17% from 2022
2023 will be a challenging year for wearable tech vendors
Increased 5G availability will fuel vehicle-to-vehicle interaction in connected cars
Smart thermostats will become an essential product in an automated home
Winners and losers
Further reading
Enterprise Internet of Things
The global enterprise IoT market will be worth $650 billion in 2023
There will be continued investment in climate tech in 2023
Security will be a top priority for industrial automation and smart city projects
China will tighten its grip on the global IoT market
Winners and losers
Further reading
Data Privacy
Fragmented privacy regulations will increase compliance costs
A new EU-US data transfer agreement will provide clarity for US businesses
Edtech is the next frontier of data privacy scrutiny
The metaverse will amplify data privacy concerns
Winners and losers
Further reading
Healthtech
Wearable tech will grow to $54.4 billion to meet the need for remote patient care
Digital therapeutics will be the next form of remote treatment
Personalized medicine enabled by AI will shape the future of healthcare
Winners and losers
Further reading
Space Economy
The space economy will be worth over $1 trillion by 2040
There will be increased competition in the LEO market
Space will become a new arena for geopolitical competition
Governments will draft legislation to tackle space debris
Winners and losers
Further reading
Quantum Computing
The quantum computing market will be worth $5 billion by 2025
Commercial-scale quantum computing is coming
The quantum threat to cybersecurity
Acquihiring will consolidate quantum talent
The US-China quantum capabilities gap will reduce in 2023
Winners and losers
Further reading
Social Media
Social media will reach 4.9 billion users in 2023
Social media companies are unprepared to tackle misinformation
Regulation will force social media companies to rethink their advertising models
Super-app adoption will be slow in the West
Winners and losers
Further reading
Gaming
Gaming will be a $238 billion industry in 2023
Adoption of cloud gaming will be slow in 2023
Cryptocurrencies and NFTs will gain limited prominence in esports
Web3 will drive investment in play-to-earn games, but mass adoption is unlikely
Winners and losers
Further reading
Video Streaming
Consumer retention will be the streaming platforms’ primary focus in 2023
Streaming platforms will bring in new models for monetization
Streaming services will bid more widely for live sports
Winners and losers
Further reading
Glossary
Data Sources
Further Reading
GlobalData thematic reports
Our thematic research methodology
About GlobalData
Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Glossary
Table 2: GlobalData Database
Table 3: GlobalData thematic reports
List of Figures/B>
Figure 1:The biggest themes driving growth in the TMT industry
Figure 2: ESG
Figure 3: Macroeconomic Outlook
Figure 4: Artificial Intelligence
Figure 5: Supply Chain Disruption
Figure 6: China
Figure 7: The Ukraine Conflict
Figure 8: Cybersecurity
Figure 9: The Metaverse
Figure 10: The Future of Work
Figure 11: 5G
Figure 12: Batteries
Figure 13: Future Mobility
Figure 14: Robotics
Figure 15: Cloud Computing
Figure 16: Blockchain and Cryptocurrency
Figure 17: Fintech
Figure 18: Consumer Internet of Things
Figure 19: Enterprise Internet of Things
Figure 20: Data Privacy
Figure 21: Healthtech
Figure 22: Space Economy
Figure 23: Quantum Computing
Figure 24: Social Media
Figure 25: Gaming
Figure 26: Video Streaming
Figure 27: Our five-step approach for generating a sector scorecard

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