South Africa Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2028 (Q3 2024)

South Africa Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2028 (Q3 2024)


Summary

GlobalData’s Construction in South Africa - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2028 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the South African construction industry, including -
  • The South African construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the South African construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline
Construction output in South Africa is expected to contract by 4.2% in real terms in 2024, owing to headwinds such as declined economic activity, high inflation, decreased construction of residential buildings, and weak civil construction activity. According to the Statistics South Africa (Stats SA), the country’s construction material price index (CMPI) grew by 7.5% in the first seven months of 2024, following an annual increase of 6.6% in 2023. Furthermore, rises in civil engineering construction material prices will also have an impact on the construction industry. The construction material price index in civil engineering sector rose by 7% YoY in January-July 2024, following annual growth of 4.4% in 2023. GlobalData expects South Africa’s construction industry to rebound and record average annual growth of 2.9% from 2025 to 2028, supported by private investments in renewable energy projects, coupled with government investment in the country’s transportation infrastructure.

Growth will also be supported by the national target to increase the share of renewable energy to 50% of the total energy mix, and reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Seriti Green - a South African renewable energy company - commenced the construction of the first phase of its ZAR25 billion ($1.3 billion) wind farm project in Mpumalanga in July 2024. The first phase of the project includes the construction of the 155MW Ummbila Emoyeni facility by the first half of 2026, with an investment of ZAR5 billion ($269.2 million). Construction work on the total 900MW capacity of the wind farm is expected to be completed in 2027.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in South Africa. It provides -
  • Historical (2019-2023) and forecast (2024-2028) valuations of the construction industry in South Africa, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using our standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends
  • Formulate and validate business strategies using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors


1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
Outlook
Latest news and developments
Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
About GlobalData
Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: South Africa, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 4: South Africa, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 6: South Africa, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 8: South Africa, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 10: South Africa, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 12: South Africa, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019-28
Table 14: South Africa, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: South Africa, Key Contractors
Table 16: South Africa, Key Consultants
Table 17: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Nominal, ZAR Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2022-28
Figure 2: South Africa, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2022-24 and 2025-28
Figure 3: South Africa, Risk Summary
Figure 4: South Africa, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2019-28
Figure 6: South Africa, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 7: South Africa, Construction Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 8: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 9: South Africa, Employment in the Construction Industry (In Thousands)
Figure 10: South Africa, Total value of recorded building plans passed by larger municipalities, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 11: South Africa, Value of Buildings Reported as Completed in Larger Municipalities, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 12: South Africa, Construction Materials Price Index, Total Construction, December 2023=100
Figure 13: South Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 14: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 15: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 16: South Africa, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 17: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans Passed for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 18: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space Reported as Completed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 19: South Africa, Income from Accommodation and Food Services (ZAR Million, Current Prices)
Figure 20: South Africa, Total Retail and Wholesale Trade Sales (Constant 2019 Prices, ZAR Billion)
Figure 21: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 22: South Africa, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 23: South Africa, Manufacturing Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 24: South Africa, Total Value of Industrial and Warehouse Space Plans Passed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 25: South Africa, Volume Index of Manufacturing Production (2019=100)
Figure 26: South Africa, Absa Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), Business Activity Index and New Sales Orders Index, Seasonally Adjusted
Figure 27: South Africa, Total Merchandise Exports (ZAR Billion)
Figure 28: South Africa, Volume Index of Mining Production (2019=100) and Mineral Sales (Current Prices, ZAR Billion)
Figure 29: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 30: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 31: South Africa, Construction Materials Price Index, Civil Engineering Construction, December 2023=100
Figure 32: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 33: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 34: South Africa, Electricity, Gas and Water Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 35: South Africa, Electricity Production (GWh)
Figure 36: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 37: South Africa, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 38: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019-28
Figure 39: South Africa, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 40: South Africa, Real Estate Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 41: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation Residential (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
Figure 42: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Building Plans Passed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 43: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Buildings Reported as Completed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
Figure 44: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 45: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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