South Africa Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector (Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential) and Forecasts, 2022-2026
Summary
GlobalData expects South Africa’s construction industry to remain weak in 2022 and 2023, declining by 4.9% and 1.9% in real terms respectively, owing in part to soaring energy prices and disruptions in the supply of key construction materials amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The latest figures from the Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) showed that the construction industry’s value add declined by 4.7% and the country’s gross fixed capital formation in construction work fell by 7.6% year on year (YoY) in the first nine months of 2022. The construction industry has been in decline in recent years, and has failed to recover from the sharp contraction recorded in 2020 amid the COVID-19 restrictions on activity. The industry’s weak performance has reflected a decline in the construction works on residential and non-residential buildings. Projects were cancelled or halted in the wake of the floods in April 2022, and in June 2022, around ZAR17.4 billion ($1.1 billion) worth projects in the tender stage were cancelled by the South African National Roads Agency Limited (SANRAL). Moreover, rising interest rates will also constrain investment growth. The Reserve Bank’ s Monetary Policy Committee increased the interest rate (repo rate) from 6.25% in September 2022 to 7% in November 2022.
GlobalData expects the country’s construction industry to start to recover in 2024, assuming a steady pick up in the wider economy, supported by investment on transport, energy and housing projects, but output levels in real terms will still remain below the highs posted in 2016. The growth in the forecast period will also be supported by an expected increase in investments in constructing buildings from ZAR66.7 billion ($4.2 billion) in 2022-23 to ZAR112.5 billion ($7.1 billion) in 2025-26 and resuming the delayed works according to the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) released by the government in October 2022. To achieve its energy goals, the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy (DoE) is undertaking the ZAR157.6 billion ($10 billion) Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme that involves the construction of 9,666.4 MW solar and wind plants
The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into South Africa’s construction industry, including -
- South Africa’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in South Africa’s construction industry
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in South Africa. It provides -
- Historical (2017-2021) and forecast (2022-2026) valuations of the construction industry in South Africa, featuring details of key growth drivers.
- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
- Understand the latest industry and market trends.
- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
- 1 Executive Summary
- 2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
- 3 Context
- 3.1 Economic Performance
- 3.2 Political Environment and Policy
- 3.3 Demographics
- 3.4 COVID-19 Status
- 3.5 Risk Profile
- 4 Construction Outlook
- 4.1 All Construction
- Outlook
- Latest news and developments
- Construction Projects Momentum Index
- 4.2 Commercial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 4.3 Industrial Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 4.4 Infrastructure Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 4.6 Institutional Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 4.7 Residential Construction
- Outlook
- Project analytics
- Latest news and developments
- 5 Key Industry Participants
- 5.1 Contractors
- 5.2 Consultants
- 6 Construction Market Data
- 7 Appendix
- 7.1 What is this Report About?
- 7.2 Definitions
- 7.3 CRI Methodology
- 7.4 GlobalData Construction
- Contact Us
- List of Tables
- Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
- Table 2: South Africa, Key Economic Indicators
- Table 3: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 4: South Africa, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
- Table 5: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 6: South Africa, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
- Table 7: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 8: South Africa, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
- Table 9: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 10: South Africa, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
- Table 11: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 12: South Africa, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
- Table 13: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2017-26
- Table 14: South Africa, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
- Table 15: South Africa, Key Contractors
- Table 16: South Africa, Key Consultants
- Table 17: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
- Table 18: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Nominal, ZAR Million)
- Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
- Table 20: Risk Dimensions
- Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020-26
- Figure 2: South Africa, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2020-22 and 2023-26
- Figure 3: South Africa, COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
- Figure 4: South Africa, Risk Summary
- Figure 5: South Africa, Risk Regional Comparison
- Figure 6: South Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2017-26
- Figure 7: South Africa, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 8: South Africa, Construction Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 9: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 10: South Africa, Employment in the Construction Industry (In Thousands)
- Figure 11: South Africa, Value of Building Plans Passed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 12: South Africa, Value of Buildings Reported as Completed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 13: South Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
- Figure 14: Region, Construction Projects Momentum Index
- Figure 15: South Africa, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 16: South Africa, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 17: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans Passed for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 18: South Africa, Total Value of Building Plans for Office and Banking Space and Shopping Space Reported as Completed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 19: South Africa, Income from Accommodation and Food Services (ZAR Million, Current Prices)
- Figure 20: South Africa, Total Retail and Wholesale Trade Sales (Constant 2019 Prices, ZAR Billion)
- Figure 21: South Africa, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 22: South Africa, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 23: South Africa, Manufacturing Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 24: South Africa, Total Value of Industrial and Warehouse Space Plans Passed, Current Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 25: South Africa, Volume Index of Manufacturing Production (2019=100)
- Figure 26: South Africa, Absa Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), Business Activity Index and New Sales Orders Index, Seasonally Adjusted
- Figure 27: South Africa, Total Merchandise Exports (ZAR Billion)
- Figure 28: South Africa, Volume Index of Mining Production (2019=100) and Mineral Sales (Current Prices, ZAR Billion)
- Figure 29: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 30: South Africa, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 31: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 32: South Africa, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 33: South Africa, Electricity, Gas and Water Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 34: South Africa, Electricity Production (GWh)
- Figure 35: South Africa, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 36: South Africa, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 37: South Africa, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2017-26
- Figure 38: South Africa, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
- Figure 39: South Africa, Real Estate Value Add (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 40: South Africa, Gross Fixed Capital Formation Residential (ZAR Billion, Constant 2015 Prices)
- Figure 41: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Building Plans Passed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 42: South Africa, Total Value of Residential Buildings Reported as Completed, 2019 Constant Prices (ZAR Million)
- Figure 43: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
- Figure 44: South Africa, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
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