South Africa Cigarettes - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2027

South Africa Cigarettes - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2027


Summary

The South African cigarettes category is expected to register a positive value CAGR over 2022-27. Filter cigarettes is the largest segment during 2022. Convenience stores is the leading channel for the distribution of cigarettes in the country. British American Tobacco, Japan Tobacco International, and Philip Morris International are the top companies in the South African cigarettes category.

This report brings together multiple data sources to provide a comprehensive overview of the cigarettes category in South Africa, as part of GlobalData’s global coverage of the category. It includes analysis on the following

Market Context: The report provides a comparative analysis of the value shares of South Africa in the Middle East & Africa and global cigarettes category. Additionally, the per capita expenditure of cigarettes in South Africa also compared with the Middle East & Africa and global levels.

Market Size and Structure: The report offers an overview of the growth at a category level and provides an analysis of cigarettes category. This category is analyzed by value, volume, and CAGR for the period 2017-27. The section also includes value analysis of segments and value and volume analysis of sub-segments segments under the category for the period 2017-2027.

Production and Trade: Provides analysis on per capita expenditure of cigarettes in South Africa, by category, compared to the Middle East & Africa and global markets. Further, analysis on the leading distribution channels at category level in 2022. The consumer category reports cover the following eight distribution channels: cash & carries and warehouse clubs, convenience stores, department stores, e-retailers, hypermarkets & supermarkets, cigarettes specialists, vending machines, and other general retailers.

Taxation : It covers taxation landscape in the country and effects in the cigarettes category

Manufacturers and Brands: The report provides analysis on leading companies by category in 2022 and analyzes the market share and growth of private label in the category.

The Smoking Population: The report covers consumption of cigarettes by gender in South Africa.

Operating Constraints: The report cover the impact of policies and regulation on cigarettes category in South Africa.

Prospects and Forecasts: The report covers forecast analysis of categories in the cigarettes category

Macroeconomic analysis: The report also provides an outlook on macroeconomic indicators in South Africa, with a detailed summary of the economy, labor market, and demographics.

Time period: The report provides category value and volume data, including category level data for the period 2017-27. Distribution channel data is of 2022, and company data is included for 2022.

Scope
  • Per capita expenditure on cigarettes was higher in the South Africa than the regional level in 2022
  • The filter cigarettes is the largest segment in both value and volume terms, in 2022
  • The ‘filter cigarettes king size’ is the largest sub-segment in both value and volume terms, in 2022
  • South Africa imports majority of its cigarettes from Switzerland
  • On per unit basis, Dunhill red brand offered the most expensive cigarettes in 2022
  • Convenience stores was the leading distribution channel in the cigarettes category
  • British American Tobacco was the leading company in the cigarettes category
Reasons to Buy
  • Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market. Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning. The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market. This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers. Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and to identify where to compete in the future.


Report Scope
Part 1: Introduction
Executive Summary
Part 2: Market Context
Value growth analysis by region
Part 3: Market Size and Structure
Market size analysis
Market size analysis -category: cigarettes
Segment analysis : cigarettes
Sub-segment analysis: cigarettes
Part 4: Production and Trade
Production -cigarettes
Imports -cigarettes
Exports -cigarettes
Part 5: Taxation and Pricing
Taxation -cigarettes
Retail prices -cigarettes
Part 6: Retail Distribution
Channel share analysis -cigarettes
Part 7: Manufacturers and Brands
Leading companies by volume share -cigarettes
Brand share analysis of top five companies -cigarettes
Part 8: Smoking Population
Smoking population, by gender
Part 9: Operating Constraints
Part 10: Prospects and Forecasts
Cigarettes growth analysis
Part 11: Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP growth and inflation
Population growth
Labor market trend
Economic summary, labormarket trends and demographic trends
South Africa risk index (GCRI) 2022
South Africa risk analysis -compared to global and Middle East & Africa markets
Methodology
Definitions
Appendix
List of Tables
Leading categories (value), 2022
Fastest-growing segments (value), 2022
Leading companies by category (volume), 2022
Leading channel by category (volume), 2022
Leading value and volume categories
Cigarettes -value analysis by segment, 2017-27
Cigarettes-value analysis by sub-segment, 2017-27
Cigarettes -volume analysis by sub-segment, 2017-27
Cigarette production, 2000-18
Imports of cigarettes, 2020-22
Imports by country of origin, million pieces, 2020-22
Imports by country of origin, percentage share (%), 2020-22
Exports of cigarettes, 2020-22
Exports by country of destination, million pieces, 2020-22
Exports by country of destination, percentage share (%), 2020-22
Taxation -cigarettes
Retail prices -cigarettes
Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2017-22
Brand volume shares of top five companies by category, 2022
Performance overview (score: 1-100)
Category data
Per capita consumption (pieces), 2017-27
Per capita expenditure (U$), 2017-27
Cigarettes volume sales distribution in South Africa, 2022
Brand volume share by category, 2022
Real GDP (ZAR billion) value and annual growth (%), 2019-27
Nominal GDP (ZAR billion) value and annual growth (%), 2019-27
Consumer price inflation (%), 2019-27
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%), 2019-27
Nominal household final consumption expenditure and annual growth (%), 2019-27
Population and annual growth (%), 2019-27
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural-urban split (%)
List of Figures
Value share of South Africa in the global and Middle East & African cigarettes category, 2022-27
Per capita expenditure comparison -South Africa , Middle East & Africa, and global, 2017-27
Market size and growth analysis by value, cigarettes category, 2017-27
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2017-27
Key distribution channels -cigarettes, in million pieces
Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2022
Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2008-27
Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2017-27
Real GDP (ZAR billion) and annual growth (%)
Nominal GDP (ZAR billion) and annual growth (%)
Consumer price inflation (%)
Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in ZAR terms
Population (million) and annual growth (%)
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural-urban split (%)
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
Five lowest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2022
Five highest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2022
South Africa’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison Middle East & Africa and world average

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