Saudi Arabia Bakery & Cereals - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

Saudi Arabia Bakery & Cereals - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

Summary

The Saudi bakery & cereals sector is expected to grow from SAR41.3 billion ($11 billion) in 2023 to SAR52.9 billion ($14.1 billion) in 2028, at a CAGR of 5.1%. In volume terms, the sector is expected to grow from 3,951.7 million kg in 2023 to 4,645.6 million kg in 2028, registering a CAGR of 3.3%. Bread & rolls was the largest category in value and volume terms, while cereal bars is forecast to register the fastest growth in value terms during 2023-28. Almarai, Mondelez International, Inc, and Switz Group were the top three companies in the Saudi bakery & cereals sector.

Scope

  • Per capita consumption of bakery & cereals in Saudi Arabia was higher than regional and global levels in 2023.
  • The per capita consumption of bread & rolls was higher in Saudi than other bakery & cereals categories in 2023
  • Food & drinks specialists was the leading distribution channel in Saudi Arabia's bakery & cereals sector, with a value share of 48.6% in 2023
  • Almarai accounted for a value share of 4.1% in 2023
Reasons to Buy
  • Identify high potential categories and explore further market opportunities based on detailed value and volume analysis
  • Existing and new players can analyze key distribution channels to identify and evaluate trends and opportunities
  • Gain an understanding of the total competitive landscape based on detailed company share analysis to plan effective market positioning
  • Our team of analysts have placed a significant emphasis on changes expected in the market that will provide a clear picture of the opportunities that can be tapped over the next five years, resulting in revenue expansion
  • Analysis on key macro-economic indicators such as real GDP, nominal GDP, consumer price index, household consumption expenditure, population (by age group, gender, rural-urban split, and employed people and unemployment rate. It also includes economic summary of the country along with labor market and demographic trends.


Report Scope
Executive Summary
Part 1: Market Environment
Value and Volume Share of Saudi Arabia in the Global and Middle East and Africa Markets
Growth Analysis of Saudi Arabia Compared to Other Leading Countries in the Middle East and Africa Market
PCC and PCE of Saudi Arabia Compared to the Global and Middle East and Africa Markets
Part 2: Sector Deep Dive
Saudi Arabia Bakery & Cereals Sector Snapshot
Market Size Analysis
Cross-Category Comparison - Value Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers
Cross-Category Comparison - Volume Growth Analysis and Category Winners and Losers
Part 3: Category Deep Dive
Per Capita Consumption Analysis by Category
Market Size Analysis - Category: Baking Ingredients
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Baking Ingredients
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Baking Ingredients
Market Size Analysis - Category: Baking Mixes
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Baking Mixes
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Baking Mixes
Market Size Analysis - Category: Bread & Rolls
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Bread & Rolls
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Bread & Rolls
Market Size Analysis - Breakfast Cereals
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Breakfast Cereals
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Breakfast Cereals
Market Size Analysis - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cakes, Pastries & Sweet Pies
Market Size Analysis - Cereal Bars
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cereal Bars
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cereal Bars
Market Size Analysis - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Cookies (Sweet Biscuits)
Market Size Analysis - Dough Products
Segment Analysis (in Value and Volume Terms): Dough products
Market Size Analysis - Energy Bars
Segment Analysis (in Value and Volume Terms): Energy Bars
Market Size Analysis - Morning Goods
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Morning Goods
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Morning Goods
Market Size Analysis - Savory Biscuits
Segment-Level Analysis (in Value Terms) - Savory Biscuits
Segment-Level Analysis (in Volume Terms) - Savory Biscuits
Part 4: Distribution Analysis
Channel Share Analysis
Part 5: Competitive Environment
Leading Companies - Value and Volume Shares
Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies
Brand Share Analysis of Top Five Companies by Category
Private Label Share Analysis by Category
Growth of Private Labels Compared to Branded Products
Degree of Consolidation/Fragmentation by Category
Part 6: Health & Wellness Analysis
Health & Wellness Analysis by Category
Health & Wellness Analysis by Product Attributes
Health & Wellness Analysis by Consumer Benefits
Cross Category Comparison - Products with H&W Claims Vs. Non-H&W Claims
Part 7: Packaging Analysis
Pack Material Growth Analysis
Pack Type Growth Analysis
Closure Type Growth Analysis
Primary Outer Type Growth Analysis
Part 8: Consumergraphics
Demographic Analysis
Part 9: Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP Growth and Inflation
Population Growth
Labor Market Trend
Economic Summary, Labor Market Trends, and Demographic Trends
Saudi Arabia Risk Index (GCRI) 2023
Saudi Arabia Risk Analysis - Compared to Global and Middle East and Africa Markets
Methodology
Definitions
Appendix
List of Tables
Leading value categories
Leading categories (volume), 2023
Cross-category comparison - by value (2018-2028)
Cross-category comparison - by volume (2018-2028)
Per capita consumption (by category), Saudi Arabia compared to Middle East and Africa and global levels (in kg), 2023
Baking ingredients - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking ingredients - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking mixes - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Baking mixes - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Bread & rolls - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Bread & rolls - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Breakfast cereals - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Breakfast cereals - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Cakes, pastries & sweet pies - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cakes, pastries & sweet pies - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cereal bars - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cereal bars - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Cookies (sweet biscuits) - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Cookies (sweet biscuits) - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Dough products - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Dough products - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Morning goods - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Morning goods - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Savory biscuits - value analysis by segment, 2018-2028Savory biscuits - volume analysis by segment, 2018-2028
Change in distribution share, 2016-2021
Top five companies share by brand (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
Brand shares of top five companies (in value and volume terms) by category, 2023
Category comparison - with H&W claims and non-h&w claims, 2018-2028
Performance overview (score: 1-100)
Category data, by segment
Per capita consumption (in kg), 2018-2028
Per capita expenditure ($), 2018-2028
Bakery & cereals sales distribution in Saudi Arabia- by category (SAR million), 2023
Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
Brand share (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, by category, 2023
Key health & wellness product attributes driving sales in Saudi Arabia , 2018-2028
Key health & wellness consumer benefits driving sales in Saudi Arabia , 2018-2028
Pack material (in million pack units), 2018-2028
Pack materials by category (in million pack units), 2023
Pack type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
Pack types by category (in million pack units), 2023
Closure type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
Closure types by category (in million pack units), 2023
Primary outer type (in million pack units), 2018-2028
Primary outer types by category (in million pack units), 2023
Real GDP and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
Nominal GDP and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
Consumer price inflation (%), 2020-2028
Employed people and unemployment rate (%), 2020-2028
Nominal household final consumption expenditure and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
Population and annual growth (%), 2020-2028
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural-urban split (%)
List of Figures
Value and volume shares of Saudi Arabia in the global and Middle East and Africa bakery & cereals sector, 2023-2026
Saudi Arabia compared to the other top countries in terms of market share, growth, and the competitive landscape
PCC comparison - Saudi Arabia , Middle East and Africa, and global, 2018-2028
PCE comparison - Saudi Arabia , Middle East and Africa, and global, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bakery & cereals sector, 2018-2028
Cross-category comparison - value growth analysis and category winners and losers
Cross-category comparison - volume growth analysis and category winners and losers
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking ingredients category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, baking mixes category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, bread & rolls category, 2018-2028Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, breakfast cereals category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cakes, pastries & sweet pies category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cereal bars category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cookies (sweet biscuits) category, 2018-2028Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, dough products category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, energy bars category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, morning goods category, 2018-2028
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, savory biscuits category, 2018-2028Share of key distribution channels (in value terms) - bakery & cereals, 2023
Key distribution channel share by category (in value terms), 2023
Leading companies (in value and volume terms) in the bakery & cereals sector, 2023
Private label penetration by category (in value terms), 2023
Growth analysis, private label and brands, 2018-2023
Category-wise consolidation/fragmentation (in value terms) - bakery & cereals , 2023
Prominence of health & wellness claims by category, $ million, 2018-2023
Contribution of health & wellness by product attributes, $ million, 2018-2023
Contribution of health & wellness by consumer benefits, $ million, 2018-2023
Key pack materials in the Saudi Arabian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
Annual growth rate by key pack material, 2018-2028
Use of pack material by category (in pack units), 2023
Key pack types in the Saudi Arabian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
Annual growth rate by key pack type, 2018-2028
Use of pack type by category (in pack units), 2023
Key closure types in the Saudi Arabian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
Annual growth rate by key closure type, 2018-2028
Use of closure type by category (in pack units), 2023
Key primary outer types in the Saudi Arabian bakery & cereals sector by percentage share of pack units, 2023
Annual growth rate by key primary outer type, 2018-2028
Use of primary outer type by category (in pack units), 2023
Demographic analysis
Real GDP (SAR billion) and annual growth (%)
Nominal GDP (SAR billion) and annual growth (%)
Consumer price inflation (%)
Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in SAR terms
Population (million) and annual growth (%)
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural-urban split (%)
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
Economic summary, labor market trends, and demographic trends
Five lowest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2023
Five highest-risk nations in GCRI Q4 2023
Saudi Arabia’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Middle East and Africa and the world
List of 108 countries analyzed to identify the high-potential countries in different regions

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