Poland Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast, 2023-2027

Poland Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast, 2023-2027


Summary

GlobalData expects the construction industry in Poland to remain weak in the initial part of the forecast period, registering an average annual fall of 0.8% during 2023-24. This downturn is attributed to headwinds such as high interest rates and construction costs, and continued weakness in the country’s residential sector amid elevated inflation rates and deteriorating purchasing power. According to Eurostat, the construction producer cost index for new residential buildings rose by 12.6% year-on-year (YoY) in first two quarters of 2023, preceded by an increase of 10.8% in 2022.

The industry is however expected to rebound at an average annual growth rate of 3.9% from 2025 to 2027, supported by investments in transport, renewable energy, industrial and a recovery in residential projects. In August 2023, the “Polish National Railway Programme” was updated with a perspective until 2030. The program includes a funding of PLN170 billion ($35 billion) until 2030. This includes an allocation of PLN79 billion ($16.3 billion) for ongoing projects that started during 2014-2020, PLN80 billion ($16.5 billion) for the 2021-2027 perspective, and PLN11 billion ($2.3 billion) for the National Reconstruction Plan (KPO).

The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into Poland’s construction industry, including -
  • Poland’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Poland’s construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Poland It provides -
  • Historical (2018-2022) and forecast (2023-2027) valuations of the construction industry in Poland, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
Outlook
Latest news and developments
Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
8 About GlobalData
9 Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Poland, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 4: Poland, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 6: Poland, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 8: Poland, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 10: Poland, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 12: Poland, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 14: Poland, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Poland, Key Contractors
Table 16: Poland, Key Consultants
Table 17: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Poland, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PLN Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Eastern Europe, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2021–27
Figure 2: Poland, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2021–23 and 2024–27
Figure 3: Poland, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Eastern Europe, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Poland, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27
Figure 6: Poland, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 7: Poland, Construction Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 8: Poland, Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Chain Linked Volumes, PLN Million)
Figure 9: Poland, Employment in the Construction Industry, In Thousands
Figure 10: Poland, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 11: Eastern Europe, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: Poland, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 13: Poland, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 14: Poland, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 15: Poland, Foreign Tourist Arrivals and Overnight Stays (Number in Thousand)
Figure 16: Poland, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 17: Poland, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 18: Poland, Manufacturing Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 19: Poland, Manufacturing Cost Index (The same period of the previous year = 100)
Figure 20: Poland, Total Merchandise Exports (PLN Million)
Figure 21: Poland, Manufacturing Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 22: Poland, Mining and Quarrying Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 23: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 24: Poland, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 25: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 26: Poland, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 27: Poland, Information and Communication Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 28: Poland, Electricity, Gas, Steam, and Air Conditioning Production Index (Chain Linked Volumes, Index 2010=100, % Change, YoY)
Figure 29: Poland, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 30: Poland, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 31: Poland, Public Administration, Defense, Education, Human Health, and Social Work Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 32: Poland, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 33: Poland, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 34: Poland, Real Estate Value Add (PLN Million, 2015 Chained Prices)
Figure 35: Poland, Dwellings Completed (in Thousands)
Figure 36: Poland, Residential Building Permits (in Thousands)
Figure 37: Poland, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 38: Poland, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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