Norway Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector – Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis, 2024-2028
Norway Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector – Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis, 2024-2028
Summary
GlobalData expects the Norwegian construction industry to contract by 4% in real terms in 2024, owing to slowdown in the housing market amid rising interest rates and high inflation, coupled with elevated construction costs which has led to an increase in mortgage rates, resulted in falling building permits and delays of projects. According to Statistics Norway, the average construction cost index for residential buildings rose by 3.3% year on year (YoY) in the first three months of 2024, owing to increased costs in both materials (3.9% YoY) and labour (3.1% YoY). Moreover, the total floor space of dwelling permits issued in the country fell by 16.8% in 2023, falling from 3.7 million m2 in 2022 to 3.1 million m2 in 2023. In March 2024, the government reported that the tender for the 1.5GW floating offshore wind project - Utsira Nord is expected to launch in 2025.
Over the remainder of the forecast period, the industry’s output is expected to record an annual average growth rate of 3.4% from 2025 to 2028, supported by investments in the transport, commercial, and renewable energy projects, coupled with the government’s target of reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2030, compared to its 1991 levels. In March 2024, a consortium led by local energy company Ventyr Energi won an offshore wind project auction from the government to build a 1.5GW offshore wind project in Sorlige Nordsjo II by 2030. Growth over the forecast period will also be aided by the government's plans to develop the country's road network with an investment of NOK207.6 billion ($20.7 billion) by 2027. In March 2024, Swedish construction company Skanska began construction work on the part of the E18 highway near Oslo, involving the construction of a two-lane road stretching 6km, a 1.2km Hovik tunnel, and the Ramstadsletta bridge by 2030.
GlobalData’s Construction in Norway - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2028 (H1 2024) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Norwegian construction industry, including -
The Norwegian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Norwegian construction industry
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Norway. It provides -
Historical (2019-2023) and forecast (2024-2028) valuations of the construction industry in Norway, featuring details of key growth drivers.
Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
Understand the latest industry and market trends.
Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
Outlook
Latest news and developments
Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
8 About GlobalData
9 Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Norway, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Norway, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 4: Norway, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Norway, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 6: Norway, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Norway, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 8: Norway, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Norway, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 10: Norway, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Norway, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 12: Norway, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Norway, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2019–28
Table 14: Norway, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Norway, Key Contractors
Table 16: Norway, Key Consultants
Table 17: Norway, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Norway, Construction Output Value (Nominal, NOK Million)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Western Europe, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2022–28
Figure 2: Norway, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2022–24 and 2025–28
Figure 3: Norway, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Norway, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Norway, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2019–28
Figure 6: Norway, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2019–28
Figure 7: Norway, Construction Value Add (NOK Million, 2021 Constant Prices)
Figure 8: Norway, Construction Production Index, 2021=100
Figure 9: Norway, Construction Employment, in Thousands
Figure 10: Norway, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 11: Western Europe, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 12: Norway, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019–28
Figure 13: Norway, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 14: Norway, Guest Nights by Foreign Nationals, In Thousands
Figure 15: Norway, Turnover Index of Accommodation and food service activities, 2021=100
Figure 16: Norway, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2019–28
Figure 17: Norway, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)