Nigeria Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast, 2023-2027

Nigeria Construction Market Size, Trend Analysis by Sector, Competitive Landscape and Forecast, 2023-2027


Summary

The construction industry in Nigeria is expected to expand by 2.2% in real terms in 2023, before recording an average annual growth of 2.8% from 2024 to 2027. The industry’s output over the forecast period will be supported by the government’s focus on infrastructure development to boost the economy. In the 2023 Budget, the government allocated NGN5.4 trillion ($10.8 billion) for capital expenditure. This includes funding of NGN803 billion ($1.6 billion) to the Ministry of Works & Infrastructure for the construction and rehabilitation of roads and railway projects, NGN409 billion ($819.7 million) for the development of power infrastructure and NGN100 billion ($200.4 million) for the development of affordable housing. In July 2023, the Nigerian President Bola Tinubu announced that a new infrastructure fund - known as Infrastructure Support Fund (ISF) - will be created to help the country’s 36 states revamp transport infrastructure, and fund health, education, power, and water projects.

The Nigerian construction industry’s growth over the forecast period will also be supported by investments on electricity, transport, oil and gas, housing, and industrial construction projects. In July 2023, the Group General Manager of the Nigerian Upstream Investment Services (NUIS), which is a subsidiary of the state-owned oil company Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC), reported that the country is expected to attract additional foreign direct investment (FDI) of NGN9-10 trillion ($18-20 billion) in the next year. Forecast-period growth in the industry will also be support by financial assistance from several multinational lenders to support investments across various sectors. In mid-September 2023, the African Development Bank (ADB) announced that it will disburse NGN124.7 billion ($250 million) for the Nigeria Electrification Project (NEP). Previously, in late June 2023, the World Bank announced a plan to commit an additional funding of NGN374.2 billion ($750 million) to Nigeria for supporting the NEP. The program, which was launched in 2020, aims to enhance rural electrification and improve access to electricity for Nigerians. The program is expected to provide electricity services to over 600,000 people, including 100,000 households, 70,000 Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), and eight universities.

The report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Nigerian construction industry, including -
  • The Nigerian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Nigerian construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Nigeria. It provides -
  • Historical (2018-2022) and forecast (2023-2027) valuations of the construction industry in Nigeria, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Context
3.1 Economic Performance
3.2 Political Environment and Policy
3.3 Demographics
3.4 Risk Profile
4 Construction Outlook
4.1 All Construction
Outlook
Latest news and developments
Construction Projects Momentum Index
4.2 Commercial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.3 Industrial Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.4 Infrastructure Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.5 Energy and Utilities Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.6 Institutional Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
4.7 Residential Construction
Outlook
Project analytics
Latest news and developments
5 Key Industry Participants
5.1 Contractors
5.2 Consultants
6 Construction Market Data
7 Appendix
7.1 What is this Report About?
7.2 Definitions
7.3 CRI Methodology
8 About GlobalData
9 Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Nigeria, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 4: Nigeria, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 5: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 6: Nigeria, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 8: Nigeria, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 10: Nigeria, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 12: Nigeria, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 13: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real % Change), 2018–27
Table 14: Nigeria, Top Residential Construction Projects by Value
Table 15: Nigeria, Key Contractors
Table 16: Nigeria, Key Consultants
Table 17: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 18: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Nominal, NGN Billion)
Table 19: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 20: Risk Dimensions
Table 21: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2021–27
Figure 2: Nigeria, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2021–23 and 2024–27
Figure 3: Nigeria, Risk Summary
Figure 4: Nigeria, Risk Regional Comparison
Figure 5: Nigeria, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2018–27
Figure 6: Nigeria, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 7: Nigeria, Construction Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 8: Nigeria, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 9: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Projects Momentum Index
Figure 10: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 11: Nigeria, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 12: Nigeria, Accommodation and Food Services Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 13: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 14: Nigeria, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 15: Nigeria, Manufacturing Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 16: Nigeria, Total Export Value (NGN Billion)
Figure 17: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 18: Nigeria, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 19: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 20: Nigeria, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 21: Nigeria, Telecommunications and Information Services Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 22: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 23: Nigeria, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 24: Nigeria, Education Sector Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 25: Nigeria, Human Health and Social Services Value-Add (NGN Million, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 26: Nigeria, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, $ Million), 2018–27
Figure 27: Nigeria, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)
Figure 28: Nigeria, Real estate Value-Add (NGN Billion, 2010 Constant Prices)
Figure 29: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 30: Nigeria, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

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