Multiple Myeloma Epidemiology Analysis and Forecast to 2032
Summary
Multiple myeloma (MM) (International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision [ICD-10] code = C90.0 or ICD-O-3 code: 9732/3) is a hematologic cancer that forms in a type of white blood cells called plasma cells. Normal plasma cells help fight infections by making antibodies that recognize and attack germs, but MM causes cancer cells to accumulate in the bone marrow where they crowd out healthy blood cells, impairing their ability to fight infections. Rather than producing helpful antibodies, the cancer cells produce abnormal proteins called monoclonal immunoglobulin or monoclonal protein (M-protein) or M-spike or paraprotein (American Cancer Society, 2018; Mayo Clinic, 2023). In the early stages, MM may not cause any symptoms. Eventually, MM causes a wide range of problems, including a persistent bone pain, usually in the back, ribs, or hips, tiredness, weakness, shortness of breath, weight loss, repeated infections, easy bruising and unusual bleeding, fragile bones, thirst, frequent urination, and kidney problems (American Cancer Society, 2018; National Health Service, 2021; Mayo Clinic, 2023).
In the 8MM, the diagnosed incident cases of MM are expected to increase from 80,305 cases in 2022 to 95,349 cases in 2032, at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.87%. In 2032, the US will have the highest number of diagnosed incident cases of MM in the 8MM, with 35,307 diagnosed incident cases, whereas Spain will have the fewest diagnosed incident cases with 3,517 cases. In the 8MM, the diagnosed prevalent cases of MM are expected to increase from 272,948 cases in 2022 to 305,020 cases in 2032, at an AGR of 1.18%. GlobalData epidemiologists attribute the increase in the diagnosed incident cases and diagnosed prevalent cases of MM to a certain extent with the moderately rising trend in the incidence of MM in the 8MM, combined with underlying demographic changes in the respective markets.
Scope
- This report provides an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and the global and historical epidemiological trends for MM in the eight major markets (8MM: US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, and Urban China).
- The report includes a 10-year epidemiology forecast for the diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases of MM. The diagnosed incident cases of MM are segmented by age (18 years and older), sex, by type (asymptomatic and symptomatic), by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage I, R-ISS stage II, and R-ISS stage III), by stem cell transplant (SCT) eligibility (eligible and ineligible), and by genetic and surface markers [t(4;14)(p16;q32), t(14;16)(q32;q23), t(14;20) (q32;q12), t(11;14)(q13;q32), and deletion 17p].
- The diagnosed prevalent cases of MM are segmented sex, by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage I, R-ISS stage II, and R-ISS stage III), and by genetic and surface markers [t(4;14)(p16;q32), t(14;16)(q32;q23), t(14;20) (q32;q12), t(11;14)(q13;q32), and deletion 17p].
- This epidemiology forecast for MM is supported by data obtained from peer-reviewed articles and population-based studies.
- The forecast methodology was kept consistent across the 8MM to allow for a meaningful comparison of the forecast diagnosed incident and diagnosed prevalent cases of MM across these markets.
The Multiple Myeloma epidemiology series will allow you to -
- Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global MM market.
- Quantify patient populations in the global MM market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.
- Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups that present the best opportunities for MM therapeutics in each of the markets covered.
- 1 Multiple Myeloma: Executive Summary
- 1.1 Catalyst
- 1.2 Related Reports
- 1.3 Upcoming Reports
- 2 Epidemiology
- 2.1 Disease background
- 2.2 Risk factors and comorbidities
- 2.3 Global and historical trends
- 2.4 8MM forecast methodology.
- 2.4.1 Sources
- 2.4.2 Forecast assumptions and methods.
- 2.4.3 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed incident cases of MM.
- 2.4.4 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed incident cases of MM by type.
- 2.4.5 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed incident cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- 2.4.6 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed incident cases of MM by SCT eligibility.
- 2.4.7 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed incident cases of MM by genetic and surface markers.
- 2.4.8 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases of MM
- 2.4.9 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- 2.4.10 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by genetic and surface markers.
- 2.5 Epidemiological forecast for multiple myeloma (2022-32)
- 2.5.1 Diagnosed incident cases of MM.
- 2.5.2 Age-specific diagnosed incident cases of MM
- 2.5.3 Sex-specific diagnosed incident cases of MM
- 2.5.4 Diagnosed incident cases of MM by type.
- 2.5.5 Diagnosed incident cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- 2.5.6 Diagnosed incident cases of MM by SCT eligibility.
- 2.5.7 Diagnosed incident cases of MM by genetic and surface markers.
- 2.5.8 Diagnosed prevalent cases of MM.
- 2.5.9 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases of MM
- 2.5.10 Diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- 2.5.11 Diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by genetic and surface markers.
- 2.6 Discussion
- 2.6.1 Epidemiological forecast insight
- 2.6.2 COVID-19 impact.
- 2.6.3 Limitations of the analysis
- 2.6.4 Strengths of the analysis
- 3 Appendix
- 3.1 Bibliography
- 3.2 About the Authors
- 3.2.1 Epidemiologist
- 3.2.2 Reviewers
- 3.2.3 Vice President of Disease Intelligence and Epidemiology
- Contact Us
- List of Tables
- Table 1: Summary of newly added data types
- Table 2: Summary of updated data types
- Table 3: Risk factors and comorbidities for MM
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM, both sexes, N, ages ≥18 years, 2022 and 2032
- Figure 2: 8MM, diagnosed prevalent cases of MM, both sexes, N, ages ≥18 years, 2022 and 2032
- Figure 3: 8MM, diagnosed incidence of MM, men, cases per 100,000 population, ages ≥18 years, 2012-32
- Figure 4: 8MM, diagnosed incidence of MM, women, cases per 100,000 population, ages ≥18 years, 2012-32
- Figure 5: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed incident cases of MM
- Figure 6: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed prevalent cases of MM
- Figure 7: 8MM, sources used and not used to forecast the diagnosed incident cases of MM by type
- Figure 8: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed incident cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- Figure 9: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed incident cases of MM by SCT eligibility
- Figure 10: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed incident cases and diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by genetic and surface markers
- Figure 11: 8MM, sources used to forecast the diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage)
- Figure 12: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 13: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by age, N, both sexes, 2022
- Figure 14: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by sex, N, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 15: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by type, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 16: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage), N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 17: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by SCT eligibility, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 18: 8MM, diagnosed incident cases of MM by genetic and surface markers, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 19: 8MM, diagnosed prevalent cases of MM, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 20: 8MM, diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by sex, N, ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 21: 8MM, diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by stage at diagnosis (R-ISS stage), N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
- Figure 22: 8MM, diagnosed prevalent cases of MM by genetic and surface markers, N, both sexes, ages ≥18 years, 2022
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