Macroeconomic Outlook Report - United States

Macroeconomic Outlook Report - United States


Summary

Financial intermediation, real estate and business activities contributed 33.2% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels activities (15.3%), mining, manufacturing and utilities (14.6%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 3.3%, 3.8% and 3.6%, respectively, in 2024.

New York, Texas, California and Illinois contributed 35.4% to the US GDP in Q3 2023

The S&P 500 index has been on an upward trend. As of January 3, 2024, the index stood at 4,769.8, compared to 3,824.1 on January 3, 2023. In 2023, the S&P 500 saw a 24% surge fueled by favorable conditions, including a Big Tech boom driven by artificial intelligence, decreasing inflation, and economic growth. Despite this, historical data indicating consecutive 20%+ gains are uncommon. GlobalData foresees additional growth in 2024, banking on expected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. S&P 500 companies could attain similar sales growth, enhancing profit margins amidst declining inflation.

Scope

In January 2024, the Infrastructure bill allocated funds to 20 Federal Transit Administration programs, with the majority distributed through formula grants to states. Over $6.6 billion annually from 2024-26 will support various transportation projects.

Reasons to Buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.


List of Exhibits
Did You Know?
Country Highlights
Key Economic Updates
Country Snapshot
Political Landscape
Economic Landscape
Social Landscape
Technological Landscape
Legal Landscape
Environmental Landscape
Outlook
List of Tables
Exhibit 1: US’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to North America and world average
Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 0-100)
Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index
Exhibit 4: SPX index, (January 2023 - January 2024)
Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019-26f)
Exhibit 6: Net international investment position (Q1 2022-Q3 2023) and direct investment position by industry (2021-22)
Exhibit 7: Foreign direct investment position by country (2021-22) and share by region (2022)
Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators (2020)
Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019-26f)
Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023e)
Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019-26f)
Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019-26f)
Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018-22)
Exhibit 14: Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation exports, % of world total (2022)
Exhibit 15: Interest rates (January 2019 - January 2024)
Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019-26f)
Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019-26f)
Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019-26f)
Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019-26f)
Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019-26f)
Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019-26f)
Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023e)
Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)
Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)
Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023
Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)
Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019-23e)
Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018-22)

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