Macroeconomic Outlook Report: United Kingdom

Macroeconomic Outlook Report: United Kingdom


Summary

Financial intermediation, real estate, and business activities contributed 34.4% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels (13.5%) and mining, manufacturing and utilities (12.1%). In nominal terms, the three segments are expected to grow by 4.1%, 4.5%, and 3.3%, respectively, in 2024.

London and Manchester contributed 37.8% to the country’s GDP and were home to 26.7% of the UK’s population, as of 2023, according to GlobalData’s cities database.

UKX index exhibited a volatile trend over the past year. As of May 1, 2024, the index stood at 8,161.1, compared to 7,633.5 on May 01, 2023.

Scope
  • Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework. This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks. These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions. The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.
Reasons to Buy
  • Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
  • PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
  • Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
  • This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.


Did You Know?
Country Highlights
Key Economic Updates
Country Snapshot
Political Landscape
Economic Landscape
Social Landscape
Technological Landscape
Legal Landscape
Environmental Landscape
Outlook
List of Figures
Exhibit 1: The UK’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to the West Europe and the world averages
Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)
Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index
Exhibit 4: UKX index, (May 2023 - May 2024)
Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019-26f)
Exhibit 6: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, FDI inward stock and FDI outward stock (2018-22)
Exhibit 7: Value and number of greenfield FDI projects and number of net cross border M&As purchases (2018-22)
Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators
Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019-26f)
Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023)
Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019-26f)
Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019-26f)
Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2019-23)
Exhibit 14: Nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances; parts thereof, % of world total (2022)
Exhibit 15: Interest rates (May 2019 - May 2024)
Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019-26f)
Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019-26f)
Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019-26f)
Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019-26f)
Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019-26f)
Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019-26f)
Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)
Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023)
Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)
Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)
Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023
Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)
Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019-23)
Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018-22)

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