Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Portugal

Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Portugal

Summary

Financial intermediation, real estate, and business activities contributed 25.9% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2024, followed by wholesale, retail, and hotel activities (19.2%) and mining, manufacturing, and utilities activities (17.0%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 4.8%, 5.0%, and 4.4%, respectively, in 2025.

Lisbon, Porto, and Algarve together accounted for 57.1% of the country’s total GDP in 2024 and 49.2% of the total population in 2024, according to GlobalData’s Cities database.

Key Highlights

On July 17, 2024, the EU allocated EUR813 million ($883.7 million) under the Connecting Europe Facility to support the early development of Portugal’s Porto-Lisboa high-speed rail line. This project, taken up as a public-private partnership, aligns with the EU’s climate objectives and modernization of the TEN-T transport network.

Scope

  • Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework.
  • This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks.
  • These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions.
  • The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.
Reasons to Buy
  • Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
  • PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
  • Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
  • This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.


Did You Know?
Country Highlights
Key Economic Updates
Country Snapshot
Political Landscape
Economic Landscape
Social Landscape
Technological Landscape
Legal Landscape
Environmental Landscape
Outlook
List of Figures
Exhibit 1: Portugal’s Performance in Terms of its Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to Europe and World Averages
Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 0-100)
Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights behind the Index
Exhibit 4: PSI 20 Index, (January 2024 - January 2025)
Exhibit 5: Key Sectors’ Contribution to the Economy (2020-27f)
Exhibit 6: FDI Inflows, FDI Outflows, FDI Inward Stock and FDI Outward Stock (2019-23)
Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI Projects and Net Cross-border M&A Deals (2019-23)
Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators
Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2020-27f)
Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2024e)
Exhibit 11: Volume of Exports and Imports Growth (2020-27f)
Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2020-27f)
Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports (2019-23)
Exhibit 14: Vehicles and Parts Thereof Exports, % of World Total (2023)
Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (February 2020 - February 2025)
Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate and Inflation (2020-27f)
Exhibit 17: General Government Deficit (2020-27f)
Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2020-27f)
Exhibit 19: Unemployment Rate (2020-27f)
Exhibit 20: Average Annual Wages (2020-27f)
Exhibit 21: Labor Cost Index (2020-27f)
Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share of Total Population (2005, 2015, 2020, 2025f)
Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (2005, 2015, 2020, 2025f)
Exhibit 24: Gender Split (2005, 2015, 2020, 2025f)
Exhibit 25: Internet Users as a Percentage of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate (2024e)
Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted per Million Population (2023)
Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports, % of Manufactured Exports (2023)
Exhibit 28: Rule of Law (Rankings) 2024
Exhibit 29: Corruption Perceptions Index (Rankings) (2023)
Exhibit 30: Renewable Energy Capacity (2020-24e)
Exhibit 31: CO2e Emissions from Energy (2019-23)

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