Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Iceland

Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Iceland

Summary

Financial intermediation, real estate, and business activities contributed 24.1% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2024, followed by mining, manufacturing, and utilities with 15.3%, and wholesale, retail, and hotels with 13.3%. According to GlobalData estimates, the three sectors are expected to grow by 5.0%, 4.9%, and 6.5%, respectively, in 2025.

According to GlobalData estimates, Reykjavik accounted for 57.7% of Iceland’s GDP and was home to 61.4% of the country’s population in 2024.

Key Highlights

According to the Icelandic government, $6.5 million was allocated in 2024 for infrastructure improvements at major natural and cultural heritage sites, including Geysir, Gullfoss, and Látrabjarg cliffs. The plan, part of a broader $19.5 million investment through 2026, includes 102 projects, with 62 new initiatives focused on trail construction, signage, and parking upgrades. Notable projects include major developments at Geysir ($1.2 million), parking at Látrabjarg ($363,000), and walkway enhancements at Dettifoss and Gullfoss.

Scope

  • Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework.
  • This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks.
  • These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions.
  • The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.
Reasons to Buy
  • Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
  • PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
  • Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
  • This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.


Did You Know?
Country Highlights
Key Economic Updates
Country Snapshot
Political Landscape
Economic Landscape
Social Landscape
Technological Landscape
Legal Landscape
Environmental Landscape
Outlook
List of Figures
Exhibit 1: Iceland’s Performance in Terms of its Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to Europe and the World Average
Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 0-100)
Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights Behind the Index
Exhibit 4: ICEXI Index (February 2024 - February 2025)
Exhibit 5: Key Sectors’ Contribution to the Economy
Exhibit 6: FDI Inflows and FDI Inward Stock (2019-23)
Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI Projects and Net Cross-border M&A Deals (2019-23)
Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators
Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2020-27f)
Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2024e)
Exhibit 11: Volume of Exports and Imports Growth (2020-27f)
Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2020-27f)
Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports (2019-23)
Exhibit 14: Exports of Fish and Crustaceans, Molluscs and Other Aquatic Invertebrates, % of World’s Total (2023)
Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (February 2020 - February 2025)
Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate and Inflation (2020-27f)
Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2020-27f)
Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2020-27f)
Exhibit 19: Unemployment Rate (2020-27f)
Exhibit 20: Labor Force Participation Rate (2020-27f)
Exhibit 21: Average Annual Wages (2020-27f)
Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share of Total Population (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)
Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)
Exhibit 24: Gender Split (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)
Exhibit 25: Internet Users as a Percentage of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate (2024e)
Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted per Million Population (2023)
Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports, % of Manufactured Exports (2023)
Exhibit 28: Index of Economic Freedom Score, 2024
Exhibit 29: Corruption Perceptions Index (Rankings) (2024)
Exhibit 30: Renewable Energy Capacity (2020-24e)
Exhibit 31: CO2 Emissions (2018-22)

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