Kenya Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis, 2024-2028
Kenya Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector - Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis, 2024-2028
Summary
GlobalData expects the construction industry in Kenya to expand by 5.5% in real terms this year, supported by public and private investments in the energy, infrastructure, and industrial sectors, coupled with a rebound in export activities. According to the Central Bank of Kenya, total domestic credit to the construction industry grew by 5.5% in 2023, preceded by annual growth of 9% in 2022. The Budget announced for the financial year (FY) 2023-24 (July 2023 to June 2024), which includes an expenditure of KES3.7 trillion ($24.1 billion) will also provide growth momentum to the construction industry in 2024. The budget includes an allocation of KES244.9 billion ($1.6 billion) for road infrastructure, KES141.2 billion ($919.4 million) for healthcare, KES62.3 billion ($405.7 million) for energy, and KES42.6 billion ($277.4 million) for railway infrastructure.
Over the remainder of the forecast period, the construction industry is expected to grow at an average annual growth rate of 6% between 2025 and 2028, supported by investments in transport infrastructure, as well as improvements in energy, housing, and industrial facilities. Among the recent developments, in December 2023, Kenya signed seven green projects with a total value of KES682.5 billion ($4.5 billion) during the COP28 summit. Some of the projects include KES230.4 billion ($1.5 billion) green fertilizer plant project, KES153.6 billion ($1 billion) geothermal project, and KES92.2 billion ($600 million) geothermal-powered data center project. Furthermore, in December 2023, the government approved the construction of a transmission line from Bomet to Narok with a cost of KES37.5 billion ($244.2 million). In another significant development, in January 2024, the state-owned Kenya Electricity Transmission Company Limited (KETRACO) announced its plan to construct 4,600Km of high voltage transmission line and 36 high voltage substations across the country by 2027.
GlobalData’s Construction in Kenya - Country Briefing (H1 2024) report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into Kenya’s construction industry, including -
Kenya’s construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in Kenya’s construction industry
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
Scope
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Kenya. It provides -
Historical (2019-2023) and forecast (2024-2028) valuations of the construction industry in Kenya, featuring details of key growth drivers.
Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
Reasons to Buy
Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
Understand the latest industry and market trends.
Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
1 Executive Summary
2 Construction Industry: At-a-Glance
3 Latest news and developments
4 Project analytics
5 Construction Market Data
6 Risk Profile
7 Appendix
7.1 Definitions
7.2 CRI Methodology
7.3 About GlobalData
8 Contact Us
List of Tables
Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Kenya, Top Construction Projects by Value
Table 3: Kenya, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million)
Table 4: Kenya, Construction Output Value (Nominal, KES Billion)
Table 5: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 6: Risk Dimensions
Table 7: Ratings, Scores and Definitions
List of Figures
Figure 1: Kenya, Construction Output Value (Real, $ Million, 2022 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2019–28
Figure 2: Kenya, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, $ Million), 2019–28
Figure 3: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2022–28
Figure 4: Kenya, Construction Output by Sector (Real % Change), 2022–24 and 2025–28
Figure 5: Kenya, Construction Value Add (KES Million, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 6: Kenya, Total Remittances ($ Million)
Figure 7: Kenya, Net Domestic Credit to the Construction Industry (KES Billion)
Figure 8: Kenya, Real Estate Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 9: Kenya, Accommodation and Restaurant Services Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 10: Kenya, Wholesale and Retail Trade Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 11: Kenya, Manufacturing and Mining and Quarrying Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 12: Kenya, Electricity and Water Supply Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 13: Kenya, Information and Communication Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 14: Kenya, Electricity Generation, in Million KWh
Figure 15: Kenya, Exports (KES Billion)
Figure 16: Kenya, Transport and Storage Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 17: Kenya, Education and Health Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 18: Kenya, Public Administration Value Add (KES Billion, 2016 Constant Prices)
Figure 19: Kenya, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage ($ Million)