Japan Cigarettes - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

Japan Cigarettes - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

Summary

The Japanese cigarettes category is expected to increase from JPY3,056.9 billion ($21.8 billion) in 2023 to JPY3,168.0 billion ($23.4 billion) by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 0.7%. Per capita expenditure of cigarettes stood at $175.4 in 2023 in Japan, which was higher than the global level ($110) and the regional level ($113.7). Smoking prevalence in Japan was 15.4% in 2023 with 24.3% of men and 7.0% of women classified as smokers. Mevius by Japan Tobacco Inc was the most preferred cigarette brand in 2023. Hong Kong (China SAR) was the leading exporter of cigarettes from Japan.

Scope

  • Per capita expenditure of cigarettes was higher in Japan than the global and regional levels in 2023
  • South Korea was the leading exporter of cigarettes to Japan
  • Hong Kong (China SAR) was the largest importer of cigarettes from Japan
  • Convinience stores was the leading distribution channel in the cigarettes category
  • Japan Tobacco International (JTI) was the leading company in the cigarettes category
Reasons to Buy
  • Get a detailed understanding of consumption to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market. Identify the areas of growth and opportunities, which will aid effective marketing planning. The differing growth rates in regional product sales drive fundamental shifts in the market. This report provides detailed, authoritative data on these changes - prime intelligence for marketers. Understand the market dynamics and essential data to benchmark your position and identify where to compete.


Report scope
Introduction
Executive Summary
Market Context
Value growth analysis by region
PCC and PCE of Japan compared to global and Asia-Pacific markets
Market Size and Structure
Market size analysis
Market size analysis - category: cigarettes
Segment analysis : cigarettes
Sub-segment analysis: cigarettes
Production and Trade
Production - cigarettes
Imports - cigarettes
Exports - cigarettes
Taxation and Pricing
Taxation - cigarettes
Retail prices - cigarettes
Retail Distribution
Channel share analysis - cigarettes
Manufacturers and Brands
Leading companies by volume share - cigarettes
Brand share analysis of top five companies - cigarettes
Smoking Population
Smoking population, by gender
Packaging Analysis
Pack Material Growth Analysis
Pack Type Growth Analysis
Primary Outer Type Growth Analysis
Operating Constraints
Prospects and Forecasts
Cigarettes growth analysis
Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP growth and inflation
Population growth
Labor market trend
Economic summary, labor market trends and demographic trends
Japan risk index (GCRI) 2024
Japan risk analysis - compared to global and Asia-Pacific markets
Methodology
Definitions
Appendix
List of Tables
Leading categories (value), 2023
Fastest-growing segments (value), 2023
Leading companies by category (volume), 2023
Leading channel by category (volume), 2023
Leading value and volume categories
Cigarettes - value analysis by segment, 2018-28
Cigarettes- value analysis by sub-segment, 2018-28
Cigarettes - volume analysis by sub-segment, 2018-28
Cigarette production, 2000-16
Imports of cigarettes, 2021-23
Imports by country of origin, million pieces, 2021-23
Imports by country of origin, percentage share (%), 2021-23
Exports of cigarettes, 2021-23
Exports by country of destination, million pieces, 2021-23
Exports by country of destination, percentage share (%), 2021-23
Taxation - cigarettes
Retail prices - cigarettes
Change in distribution share in cigarettes, 2018-23
Brand volume shares of top five companies by category, 2023
Performance overview (score: 1-100)
Sector data, by category
Per capita consumption (pieces), 2018-28
Per capita expenditure ($), 2018-28
Cigarettes volume sales distribution in Japan, 2023
Brand volume share by category, 2023
Pack material (in million pack units), 2018-28
Pack materials by category (in million pack units), 2023
Pack type (in million pack units), 2018-28
Pack types by category (in million pack units), 2023
Primary outer type (in million pack units), 2018-28
Primary outer types by category (in million pack units), 2023
Nominal GDP (JPY billion) value and annual growth (%), 2020-28
Consumer price inflation (%), 2020-28
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%), 2020-28
Nominal household final consumption expenditure and annual growth (%), 2020-28
Population and annual growth (%), 2020-28
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
List of Figures
Value share of Japan in the global and Asia-Pacific cigarettes category, 2023-28
Per capita expenditure comparison - Japan, Asia-Pacific, and global, 2018-28
Market size and growth analysis by value, cigarettes category, 2018-28
Market size and growth analysis by value and volume, cigarettes category, 2018-28
Key distribution channels - cigarettes, in million pieces
Leading companies (in volume million pieces) in the cigarettes category, 2023
Key Pack Materials in the Japanese cigarettes category by Percentage Share of Pack Units, 2023
Annual Growth Rate by Key Pack Material, 2018-28
Use of Pack Material by Category (in Pack Units), 2023
Key Pack Types in the Japanese cigarettes category by Percentage Share of Pack Units, 2023
Annual Growth Rate by Key Pack Type, 2018-28
Use of Pack Type by Category (in Pack Units), 2023
Key Primary Outer Types in the Japanese cigarettes category by Percentage Share of Pack Units, 2023
Annual Growth Rate by Key Primary Outer Type, 2018-28
Use of primary type by category (in pack units), 2023
Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2009-28
Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2018-28
Percentages of adult smokers by gender, 2008-28
Cigarettes consumption, million pieces, 2018-28
Real GDP (JPY billion) and annual growth (%)
Nominal GDP (JPY billion) and annual growth (%)
Consumer price inflation (%)
Nominal household final consumption expenditure growth (%) in JPY terms
Population (million) and annual growth (%)
Population by age group (%)
Population by gender (%)
Population by rural-urban split (%)
Employed people (million) and unemployment rate (%)
Five lowest-risk nations in GCRI Q1 2024
Five highest-risk nations in GCRI Q1 2024
Japan’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison Asia-Pacific and world average

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