Decarbonizing the Steel Industry - Trends, Assessing Technologies, Challenges and Case Studies
Summary
While steel has historically been a sector that is well known for its ‘hard to abate’ emissions, demand for green steel is rising rapidly. This report assesses the steel sector’s current emissions footprint and its emissions reduction targets. It also explores the potential and limitations of the steel sector’s foremost decarbonization technologies: Green hydrogen for HDRI steel, carbon capture utilization and storage, and refining steel via electrolysis.
Steel accounts for 9% of global CO2 emissions and is considered a hard to abate industry. Amidst strong forecast growth over the coming decades, major changes need to be implemented to get steelmaking on track and in line with the Paris Agreement. Secondary stream steelmaking (recycling of scrap) is not expected to satisfy global steel demand despite increasing scrap availability over the coming decades. Electrification of both major and ancillary processes, and general efficiency improvements are necessary and cost-effective changes for steelmakers but only yield modest emission reductions. Innovations in primary steelmaking are required. Proposed technologies to decarbonize primary steelmaking include use of hydrogen (instead of coal) in the direct reduction of iron (HDRI), Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage (CCUS) and innovative electrolysis technologies. The “green steel” project pipeline is expanding with development of these technologies but needs to be accelerated to get on track with net zero. HDRI is the most developed technology at commercial scale and is expected to make up the majority of green steel projects by 2050 but cost and hydrogen infrastructure remain major challenges. Electrolysis needs more development at scale, and steelmakers have been slow to adopt CCUS since it does not have an obvious road to affordability. As green hydrogen and renewable energy keep reducing in cost, there will be a shift from coal to HDRI and electrolysis over the coming decades. This process could be sped up by increased carbon tariffs or by companies making commitments to purchase green steel.
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