China Baby Food - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028

China Baby Food - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028


Summary

The number of live births in China stood at 9.6 million in 2022. This is anticipated to decline by 25% during 2022-28. Both the crude birth rate and total fertility rates have fallen. The GDP of China grew by 3% in 2022, while consumer price inflation stood at 2%. Overall growth in value terms has increased in recent years, with the sector registering a CAGR of 2.3% during 2016-22. However, in volume terms, sales decreased in 2022, with the sector declining at a negative CAGR of 2.4%. Baby milks remained by far the largest category in value terms with over 90% of the baby food sector, followed by baby cereals & dry meals. Nestlé, Feihe International, and Danone were the top two companies in 2022. Nestlé had presence in all the baby food categories except baby drinks. E-retailers was the leading distribution channel in the sector in 2022, accounting for over 30% of overall value sales. GlobalData estimates the market for baby food in the country is expected to increase marginally in value terms during 2022-28, at a CAGR of 0.1%.

“China Baby Food - Market Assessment and Forecasts to 2028” is an analytical report by GlobalData which provides extensive and highly detailed current and future market trends in the Chinese market.

What else does this report offer?
  • Consumption data based upon a unique combination of industry research, fieldwork, market sizing work and our in-house expertise to offer extensive data about the trends and dynamics affecting the industry.
  • Detailed profile of the companies operating and new companies considering entry in the industry along with their key focus product sectors.
  • Market profile of the various product sectors with the key features & developments, segmentation, per capita trends and the various manufacturers & brands.
  • Overview of baby food retailing with a mention of the major retailers in the country along with the distribution channel.
  • Future projections considering various trends which are likely to affect the industry.
Scope
  • Value sales of baby milks increased from CNY75.8 billion ($11.4 billion) in 2016 to CNY87.1 billion ($13 billion) in 2022, registering a CAGR of 2.3% during this period.
  • Baby cereals & dry meals volumes decreased at a negative CAGR of 2% from 28.25 million kg in 2016 to 25 million kg in 2022.
  • Value sales of the baby wet meals & other category rose from CNY2.6 billion ($387.2 million) in 2016 to CNY2.7 billion ($407.4 million) in 2022, at a CAGR of 1%.
  • During 2016-22, PCC of baby finger food grew by 60%.
  • During 2016-22, PCC of baby drinks fell by 80%.
Reasons to Buy
  • Evaluate important changes in consumer behavior and identify profitable markets and areas for product innovation.
  • Analyse current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities to exploit.
  • Detailed understanding of consumption by individual product categories in order to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
  • Investigates which categories are performing the best and how this is changing market dynamics.


  • Executive Summary
  • Market Environment
    • Value and Volume Growth Analysis by Region
    • Growth Analysis of China Compared with Other Leading Countries* in Asia-Pacific
    • PCC and PCE of China Compared with Global and Asia-Pacific Markets
  • Background
    • Births - Live Birth Rates
    • Births - Birth Rates by Region
    • The Consumer
    • The Consumer: Survey Insights
    • Sociodemographic Trends
    • Working Women
    • Working Women - Legislation
    • Breastfeeding Trends - Promotion
    • Breastfeeding Trends - Prevalence
    • Regulations
    • Introduction
    • Manufacturers’ Market Entry
    • Production
  • Overview
    • China Baby Food Sector Snapshot
    • Market Size Analysis
    • Manufacturer Shares
  • Category Analysis
    • Baby Milks
      • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Milks
      • Baby Milks: Per Capita Trends
      • Baby Milks: Per Capita Trends by Age Group
      • Baby Milks: Regional Profile
      • Baby Milks: Segmentation
      • Baby Milks: Manufacturers & Brands
      • Baby Milk Brands: Selected Best-Selling Brands, by Price Category
      • Baby Milks: Manufacturers & Brands
  • Baby Cereals & Dry Meals
    • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Cereals & Dry Meals
    • Baby Cereals & Dry Meals: Per Capita Trends
    • Baby Cereals & Dry Meals: Segmentation
    • Baby Cereals & Dry Meals: Manufacturers & Brands
  • Baby Wet Meals & Other
    • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Wet Meals & Other
    • Baby Wet Meals & Other: Per Capita Trends
    • Baby Wet Meals & Other: Segmentation
    • Baby Wet Meals & Other: Manufacturers & Brands
  • Baby Finger Food
    • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Finger Food
    • Baby Finger Food: Per Capita Trends
    • Baby Finger Food: Segmentation
    • Baby Finger Food: Manufacturers & Brands
  • Baby Drinks
    • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Drinks
    • Baby Drinks: Per Capita Trends
    • Baby Drinks: Segmentation
    • Baby Drinks: Manufacturers & Brands
  • Other Baby Food
  • Production and Trade
    • Imports
    • Exports
    • Production
  • Distribution
    • Channel Share Analysis
    • Baby Food Retailing
  • Economic Background
    • GDP Growth and Inflation
  • Prospects and Forecasts
    • Future Trends
  • Definitions
    • Definitions - Category
    • Definitions - Terminology
  • Appendix
    • Baby Population: A decline of 30.8% is expected during 2022-28
    • Sector Value: In 2022, the market’s value sales amounted to $14.1 billion
    • Sector Value: In constant price terms, sales increased by 1.8% during 2016-22
    • Sector Volume: Baby food consumption amounted to 343.1 million kg in 2022
    • PCE: Expenditure per baby aged 0-36 months stood at $438.3 in 2022
    • PCE: Spending in real terms increased by 62.1% during 2016-22
    • PCC: Intake per baby aged 0-3 years stood at 10.7kg in 2022
    • Baby Milks: Growing-up milk accounted for 56.1% of volume sales in 2022
    • Baby Milks: Beingmate has been granted permission to sell 43 milk products
    • Baby Milks: Feihe’s baby milk formulas are available in 24 varieties
    • Baby Milks: FrieslandCampina successfully registered three baby milk brands in 2018
    • Baby Milks: Inner Mongolia Yili registered 16 infant formula products
    • Baby Milks: 12 baby milk products from Mead Johnson have been approved
    • Baby Milks: China has approved the sale of 25 Nestlé baby milk products
    • Baby Milks: 18 Synutra infant formula variants were approved for sale in 2018
    • Baby Milks: Xi’an Yinqiao has been approved to sell 15 varieties of baby milk
    • Baby Milks: 12 domestic and 10 imported brands were certified organic in 2020
    • Appendix - Milks: A total of 81 FSMP products were approved as of 2021
    • Appendix - Milks: For babies aged 0-12 months, 36 infant formulas were approved in 2021
    • Appendix - Milks: In 2021, 23 infant formulas were approved for babies aged over 12 months
    • Appendix - Milks: Feihe had 45 products approved in the baby milks category in 2019
    • Appendix -Production: Heilongjiang and Shaanxi provinces were the largest producers of infant formula
    • Appendix -Production: CNCA approved US, Italian, and German companies to sell infant formula in 2020
    • Appendix -Production: CNCA approvals were granted to European, American, Asian, and Australasian companies during 2015-16
    • Appendix -Production: During 2015-16, overseas manufacturers selling infant formula products declined
    • Appendix -Production: CNCA approved most domestic infant formula manufacturers by July 2014
    • Appendix - Production: CNCA approved Dumex and Wyeth baby milk products by July 2014
    • Appendix - Production: CNCA approved Mead Johnson’s entry into the Chinese market
    • Appendix - Production: In July 2014, Mead Johnson received CNCA approval to sell infant formula
    • Value Forecasts: During 2022-28, the market’s overall value is set to increased by 7%
    • Value Forecasts: Value sales are set to total CNY85.8 billion ($13.6 billion) in 2028
    • Volume Forecasts: Baby food consumption will total 309.31 million kg in 2028
    • Per Capita Forecasts: PCE in current terms is set to reach $677.5 per baby in 2028
    • Per Capita Forecasts: PCE in constant terms will reach CNY3,848.1 ($608.4) in 2028
    • Per Capita Forecasts: Intake per baby aged 0-3 years is set to stand at 13.9kg in 2028
    • Exchange Rates (LCU per $)
    • Store Checks: GlobalData recorded 169 SKUs, the majority of which were baby milks
  • Methodology

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