Global eCommerce and Other Non-Store Retailers Market to Reach US$8.6 Trillion by 2030
The global market for eCommerce and Other Non-Store Retailers estimated at US$4.1 Trillion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$8.6 Trillion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.1% over the analysis period 2024-2030. eCommerce, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 13.9% CAGR and reach US$7.8 Trillion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Direct Selling Establishments segment is estimated at 7.0% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$1.4 Trillion While China is Forecast to Grow at 15.4% CAGR
The eCommerce and Other Non-Store Retailers market in the U.S. is estimated at US$1.4 Trillion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$1.3 Trillion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 15.4% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% and 12.4% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 12.2% CAGR.
Global eCommerce and Other Non-Store Retailers Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized
What Defines eCommerce and Non-Store Retailing?
eCommerce and non-store retailing encompass all shopping activities that occur outside traditional brick-and-mortar store setups. This includes online marketplaces, infomercials, catalog shopping, and vending machines, among others. The defining characteristic of these retail channels is the lack of a physical presence where buyers and sellers interact. With the advent of the internet and digital technology, eCommerce has surged to the forefront, driven by platforms that allow consumers to purchase goods and services from any location via web and mobile applications. This mode of retail combines convenience, extensive choice, and often, competitive pricing, catering to a tech-savvy consumer base seeking efficiency in their purchasing activities.
How Has Technology Transformed eCommerce and Non-Store Retail?
The rapid evolution of digital technology has profoundly transformed the landscape of non-store retailing. Innovations in web design, secure payment methods, and personalized marketing strategies, such as data-driven personalization and AI-generated recommendations, have significantly enhanced the consumer experience in online shopping environments. Mobile technology, in particular, has played a pivotal role, with smartphones becoming the preferred device for many consumers to shop online. The integration of advanced logistics solutions, including real-time order tracking and efficient delivery systems, has also improved, reducing the time from order to delivery. Furthermore, emerging technologies like augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) are beginning to influence the online shopping experience by allowing customers to visualize products in a simulated environment, further blurring the lines between physical and digital shopping experiences.
What Trends Are Shaping the Future of eCommerce and Non-Store Retailers?
Several significant trends are currently shaping the future of eCommerce and other non-store retailers. The rise of social media shopping, where consumers can shop directly through social media platforms, is making online shopping even more accessible and integrated into daily activities. Additionally, the push towards sustainability is evident, with more consumers preferring to buy from brands that demonstrate environmental consciousness in their packaging and sourcing methods. Another notable trend is the increasing use of subscription services and direct-to-consumer sales models, which build brand loyalty and provide consumers with a convenient, ongoing delivery of products. The global nature of eCommerce also means that retailers are expanding their reach beyond local markets, providing international sales and shipping options to meet the demands of a growing global customer base.
Growth in the eCommerce and Other Non-Store Retailers Market Is Driven by Several Factors
The growth in the eCommerce and other non-store retailers market is driven by several factors, including the increasing penetration of internet and mobile device usage across the globe. Consumer behavior has shifted dramatically in favor of online shopping, which is perceived as more convenient, often more affordable, and provides a wider array of products than traditional retail. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has further accelerated this trend, as consumers turned to online shopping amid physical store closures and health concerns. Technological advancements that simplify online transactions and enhance the user experience also contribute to market growth. Additionally, improvements in logistics and supply chain management have enabled retailers to offer faster and more reliable delivery options, which have been crucial in winning over consumer trust and increasing repeat business. The combination of these factors ensures continued dynamic growth in the eCommerce and non-store retail sectors.
SCOPE OF STUDY:TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR
Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.
We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.
We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.
As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.
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APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE
Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.
JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET
Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.
Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:
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Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.
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