Supermarkets

Global Supermarkets Market to Reach US$2.1 Trillion by 2030

The global market for Supermarkets estimated at US$1.9 Trillion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$2.1 Trillion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 1.8% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Retail Chains, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 2.1% CAGR and reach US$1.4 Trillion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Independent Retailers segment is estimated at 1.2% CAGR over the analysis period.

The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$510.1 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 3.8% CAGR

The Supermarkets market in the U.S. is estimated at US$510.1 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$405.2 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 3.8% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 0.3% and 1.2% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 0.7% CAGR.

Global Supermarkets Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

Why Are Supermarkets at the Center of the Global Retail Revolution?

Supermarkets are at the forefront of the global retail landscape, evolving rapidly to meet changing consumer behaviors and preferences. With the rise of urbanization and a shift towards convenient, one-stop shopping experiences, supermarkets have become a critical part of modern retail. The appeal of supermarkets lies in their ability to offer a wide range of products, from fresh produce to household goods, all under one roof. They cater to a broad spectrum of consumer needs, offering both affordability and premium options. Additionally, the rise of private label products, which offer competitive pricing and quality, has further driven consumer loyalty towards supermarkets. This trend is amplified in emerging markets, where the rapid expansion of supermarkets is reshaping traditional retail landscapes, offering consumers more choices and convenience than ever before.

How Is Technology Transforming Supermarkets?

Technology is playing a crucial role in revolutionizing the supermarket industry, enhancing both operational efficiency and the customer experience. The adoption of digital payment systems, self-checkout kiosks, and online shopping platforms has streamlined the shopping process, making it more convenient for consumers. Furthermore, supermarkets are increasingly utilizing data analytics to personalize the shopping experience, offering targeted promotions based on customer purchase history. The rise of omnichannel retailing is also transforming how supermarkets operate, with many stores offering a blend of in-store shopping, home delivery, and click-and-collect services to cater to diverse consumer preferences. Additionally, automation in inventory management and supply chain operations is improving stock availability, reducing waste, and enhancing overall operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Trends in Consumer Behavior Impacting Supermarkets?

Several trends in consumer behavior are reshaping the supermarket industry. Firstly, there is a growing demand for healthier and organic products as consumers become more health-conscious and aware of their dietary choices. This has led to the expansion of organic food sections and an increase in the availability of plant-based and specialty products. Secondly, sustainability is becoming a key concern for shoppers, driving supermarkets to reduce plastic packaging, minimize food waste, and source products ethically. Another trend is the increasing use of digital tools by consumers, who are relying on mobile apps for price comparisons, loyalty rewards, and online grocery shopping. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the adoption of online grocery shopping, with consumers valuing convenience and safety, a shift that is expected to persist in the post-pandemic world.

The Growth in the Supermarkets Market Is Driven by Several Factors

The growth in the supermarkets market is driven by several factors, including changing consumer preferences, technological advancements, and the expansion of retail infrastructure. First, the rising demand for convenience and the preference for one-stop shopping is driving the proliferation of supermarkets in both urban and suburban areas. Second, advancements in digital technologies, such as online grocery platforms and automated checkout systems, are enhancing the consumer experience, leading to greater customer retention. Third, the growing focus on sustainability and the demand for organic and locally sourced products are reshaping product offerings, attracting environmentally conscious consumers. Finally, the expansion of supermarkets into emerging markets, where rising disposable incomes and urbanization are fueling demand for modern retail formats, is further boosting the global supermarket market’s growth.

SCOPE OF STUDY:

The report analyzes the Supermarkets market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments:
Ownership (Retail Chains, Independent Retailers)

Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.

Select Competitors (Total 186 Featured) -

• A.F. Blakemore and Son Limited
• Abdullah Al Othaim Markets Co.
• Acme Fresh Market
• Aeon Co. (M) Bhd.
• AEON RETAIL
• AJIU.COM
• Albertsons Companies, Inc.
• Almacenes A‰xito
• Araz Supermarket
• Asda

TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR

Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.

We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.

We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.

As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.

To our valued clients, we say, we have your back. We will present a simplified market reassessment by incorporating these changes!

APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE

Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.

JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET

Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.

Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:

USA
CHINA
MEXICO
CANADA
EU
JAPAN
INDIA
176 OTHER COUNTRIES.

Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.

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