Global Low GWP Refrigerants Market to Reach US$74.4 Billion by 2030
The global market for Low GWP Refrigerants estimated at US$38.3 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$74.4 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.7% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Inorganics, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 11.2% CAGR and reach US$30.1 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Hydrocarbons segment is estimated at 12.3% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$9.9 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 15.1% CAGR
The Low GWP Refrigerants market in the U.S. is estimated at US$9.9 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$17.2 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 15.1% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 8.1% and 9.5% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 9.1% CAGR.
Global Low GWP Refrigerants Market - Key Trends and Drivers Summarized
Why Are Low GWP Refrigerants Critical for Sustainable Cooling Solutions?
Low Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants are increasingly being adopted as part of efforts to reduce the environmental impact of refrigeration and air conditioning systems. These refrigerants have a lower potential to contribute to global warming compared to traditional hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), which are being phased out due to their harmful effects on the environment. Low GWP refrigerants are used in a wide range of applications, including commercial refrigeration, air conditioning, and industrial cooling systems. By reducing the greenhouse gas emissions associated with cooling systems, these refrigerants are playing a key role in the global transition to sustainable energy practices.
What Innovations Are Driving the Low GWP Refrigerants Market?
The development of new refrigerant blends and natural refrigerants is shaping the low GWP refrigerants market. Hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) and natural refrigerants such as carbon dioxide (CO2), ammonia, and hydrocarbons are gaining popularity as they offer low GWP and zero ozone depletion potential. Additionally, advancements in refrigeration and air conditioning system design are improving the energy efficiency of systems using low GWP refrigerants, further reducing their environmental impact. Regulatory initiatives such as the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol are also driving innovation, as manufacturers develop new refrigerants that comply with international environmental standards.
How Do Market Segments Define the Growth of Low GWP Refrigerants?
Types include HFOs, hydrocarbons, ammonia, and CO2, with HFOs leading the market due to their widespread use in commercial refrigeration and air conditioning systems. Applications range from commercial refrigeration and air conditioning to industrial cooling and heat pumps, with commercial refrigeration representing the largest segment as retailers and food service providers seek to reduce their carbon footprint. End-use industries include retail, food and beverage, automotive, and industrial manufacturing, with the food and beverage industry driving significant demand for low GWP refrigerants to comply with environmental regulations.
What Factors Are Driving the Growth in the Low GWP Refrigerants Market?
The growth in the low GWP refrigerants market is driven by several factors, including the increasing regulatory pressure to phase out high GWP refrigerants, the growing focus on sustainability, and advancements in refrigerant technology. Governments around the world are implementing regulations to limit the use of high GWP refrigerants, encouraging the adoption of environmentally friendly alternatives. The push toward sustainability is also driving businesses to adopt low GWP refrigerants to reduce their environmental impact and meet corporate sustainability goals. Additionally, ongoing innovation in refrigerant technology is improving the performance and energy efficiency of systems using low GWP refrigerants, further supporting market growth.
SCOPE OF STUDY:TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR
Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.
We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.
We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.
As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.
To our valued clients, we say, we have your back. We will present a simplified market reassessment by incorporating these changes!
APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE
Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.
JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET
Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.
Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:
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JAPAN
INDIA
176 OTHER COUNTRIES.
Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.
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