Replacement Demand Analysis for Class 1-3 HVAC Components in Europe

Replacement Demand Analysis for Class 1-3 HVAC Components in Europe


European HVAC Aftermarket will be €2.58 Billion by 2029

This research service covers the European passenger car and light commercial vehicle HVAC components aftermarket in terms of volume (million units) and value (€ million). It thoroughly analyzes unit shipment, revenue, average price, and distribution channel share for eight product types: compressors, accumulators and receiver driers, evaporators, condensers, expansion valves, heater cores, radiators, and radiator fan assemblies. The base year is 2022, and the forecast period is from 2023 to 2029.

Aftermarket demand for HVAC components in Europe, which recovered in the year 2021, continued to grow in 2022 due to growth in average miles traveled, strong pent-up demand, rising average annual temperature, and aging vehicle population. However, by the end of the forecast period, both unit shipments and revenue growth will remain flat. This is mainly because of the decline in aftermarket demand for certain key HVAC components after 2025 due to reduced vehicle accidents and higher product durability.

Most of the HVAC components suffered a price hike in 2022 due to the rise in raw material costs as a result of various supply chain constraints and the geopolitical situation. Since this is a do-it-for-me market and part replacement occurs mainly in older vehicles, warehouse distributors dominate the segment. Original equipment suppliers mainly cater to the demand arising from vehicle collisions, premium vehicles, and difficult-to-find parts. Key brands in the European HVAC aftermarket are Mahle, Denso, Nissens, NRF, Valeo, Delphi, AVA Cooling and Van Wezel.


  • Strategic Imperatives
    • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
    • The Strategic Imperative 8™
    • Top 3 Strategic Imperatives Affecting the Growth of the Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) Component Aftermarket
    • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Overall HVAC Components Aftermarket
    • Scope of Analysis
    • Segmentation
    • Definitions
    • Key Questions This Study Will Answer
    • Key Competitors
    • Key Findings
    • Growth Metrics
    • Growth Drivers
    • Growth Restraints
    • CASE Impact on the HVAC Components Aftermarket, 2029
    • Forecast Assumptions
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Product
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Percent Revenue Forecast by Product
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Percent Revenue Forecast by Product, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Product
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Product, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Percent Unit Shipment Forecast by Product
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Percent Unit Shipment Forecast by Product, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table HVAC Component Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Competitive Environment
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Compressors
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Compressor Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Compressor Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Accumulators and Receiver Driers
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Accumulator and Receiver Drier Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Accumulator and Receiver Drier Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Evaporators
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Evaporator Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Evaporator Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Condensers
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Condenser Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Condenser Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Expansion Valves
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Expansion Valve Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Expansion Valve Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Heater Cores
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Heater Core Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Heater Core Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Radiators
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Radiator Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Radiator Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis: Radiator Fan Assembly
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Revenue Forecast by Region
      • Table Radiator Fan Assembly Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
      • Table Radiator Fan Assembly Aftermarket: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Europe, 2019–2029
    • Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis
    • Average Pricing Forecast
    • Revenue Share by Distribution Channel and Service Preference
    • Revenue Share by Brand
  • Key Supplier Profiles
    • MAHLE
    • DENSO
    • VALEO
    • Nissens
    • NRF
  • Growth Opportunity Universe
    • Growth Opportunity 1: Private Labels
    • Growth Opportunity 2: eCompressors
    • Growth Opportunity 3: CV Technology/Telematics
  • The Last Word
    • 3 Predictions
  • Next Steps
    • Your Next Steps
    • Why Frost, Why Now?

Download our eBook: How to Succeed Using Market Research

Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.

Download eBook
Cookie Settings