2024 Prediction of the Global Electric Car Growth Outlook
The Strong Transition Towards Electrification Will Continue With an Estimated EV Penetration of 18–19% Selling Over 15.2 Million Units
This Frost & Sullivan study provides an outlook for the electric vehicle industry based on the latest industry data; it provides an outline of current trends and an in-depth analysis of future developments, as well as a breakdown of the main stakeholders in the sector and their performance. EV sales in 2022 amounted to a total of 10.5 million, of which 72.7% were BEVs and 27.2% were PHEVs. FCEV sales remained the same as in 2021, which constituted 0.1% of the total EV sales. Global EV penetration increased from 9% in 2021 to 13% in 2022. APAC continued to record the highest y-o-y growth of 82.7%.
BYD emerged as the new market leader for the first time since the launch of EVs with over 1,858,247 unit sales followed by Tesla which sold approximately 1,314,330 units. Over 479,337 MWH of battery power was supplied globally. CATL continued to be the market leader with a market share more than 29.6%, followed by LG Energy Solution with a 16.4% market share. EV charging point installations surpassed 2.2 million points compared to 1.5 million in 2021 with China accounting for 60% and having the highest number of installations. The key trends in the market include over $400 billion investments freshly announced that will go toward establishing battery manufacturing plants and developing new EV models.
V2G-enabled vehicles with key OEMs such as VW shifting to 100% V2G-enabled vehicles on its MEB platform. Presently, only 4-5 EV models are V2G enabled. Adopting ISO 15118’s standards will ensure communication features encryption, decryption, and two-way authentication. Technical advancements toward batteries developing high power energy and heat dissipation capabilities will be imperative to render them compatible with ultrafast charging.
Analysis Highlights
Electric Vehicle Highlights: 2023 and Top Predictions for 2024
Global EV Market Overview, 2023 and 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Top 10 Markets
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
EV Battery Overview
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
EV Charging Infrastructure Development: Top 5 Markets
Strategic Imperatives
Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the EV Industry
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline EngineTM
Research Scope and Segmentation
Research Scope
EV Segmentation
2024 Global Economic Outlook
Top 10 Trends for 2024
Top 10 Growth Opportunities
Global GDP Growth: Mild Global Growth Slowdown from 3.0% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024 as Key Economies Lose Growth Momentum
Inflation and Interest Rates: Headline Inflation will Continue to Decline; H2 2024 will Shift Towards Rate Cuts for Advanced ECONOMIES
Currency Trajectory: Dollar to Remain Strong in H1 2024; Emerging Market Currencies to Get Boost from Q3 2024 Onwards
OIL Markets: Q1 OPEC+ Oil Production Cuts; NON-OPEC Production to Rise
Labor Market: Moderate Unemployment Uptick; Positive Expectations over Market Sentiment to Support Labor Hoarding
Critical Minerals Supplies: Need for ECONOMIC Resiliency Will Bolster Cross-border and Cross-industry Partnerships
North America: Economic Slowdown AMIDST Discretionary Spending Pullback and Elevated Interest Rates
Western Europe: Moderate Growth Pick-up as Inflation Headwinds Ease Gradually; Rebuilding Fiscal Buffers to Take Precedence
Middle East: Non-oil Growth Driven by Economic Diversification to Limit the Pullback Caused by a Slowdown in Global Oil Markets
Asia: Emerging Economies to Drive Growth Momentum; Fiscal Measures to Support Chinese Economic Recovery
Upcoming Trends
Key Trends in the EV Market for 2024
Na-ion and Solid-state Batteries Enter the EV Mass Market
Gigacasting in EV Manufacturing
Falling EV Prices
AI in EV Charging
V2G-compatible Vehicles
Battery Repair and Replacement
EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: Europe
EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
European EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
The European Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: Americas
EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
Americas EV Market, 2023 And 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
The US Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: China
EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
Chinese EV Market: 2023 and 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
The Chinese Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: APAC (excluding China)
EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
APAC EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
The APAC Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: MEA
EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
MEA EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
Growth Opportunity Universe
Growth Opportunity 1: EV Pricing Will Match Pre-incentive Prices and Compete with Conventional Vehicles
Growth Opportunity 2: Expansion into EV Emerging Markets
Growth Opportunity 3: EV Battery Repair and Replacement for First-generation EVs