2024 Prediction of the Global Electric Car Growth Outlook

2024 Prediction of the Global Electric Car Growth Outlook


The Strong Transition Towards Electrification Will Continue With an Estimated EV Penetration of 18–19% Selling Over 15.2 Million Units

This Frost & Sullivan study provides an outlook for the electric vehicle industry based on the latest industry data; it provides an outline of current trends and an in-depth analysis of future developments, as well as a breakdown of the main stakeholders in the sector and their performance.
EV sales in 2022 amounted to a total of 10.5 million, of which 72.7% were BEVs and 27.2% were PHEVs. FCEV sales remained the same as in 2021, which constituted 0.1% of the total EV sales. Global EV penetration increased from 9% in 2021 to 13% in 2022. APAC continued to record the highest y-o-y growth of 82.7%.

BYD emerged as the new market leader for the first time since the launch of EVs with over 1,858,247 unit sales followed by Tesla which sold approximately 1,314,330 units. Over 479,337 MWH of battery power was supplied globally. CATL continued to be the market leader with a market share more than 29.6%, followed by LG Energy Solution with a 16.4% market share. EV charging point installations surpassed 2.2 million points compared to 1.5 million in 2021 with China accounting for 60% and having the highest number of installations. The key trends in the market include over $400 billion investments freshly announced that will go toward establishing battery manufacturing plants and developing new EV models.

V2G-enabled vehicles with key OEMs such as VW shifting to 100% V2G-enabled vehicles on its MEB platform. Presently, only 4-5 EV models are V2G enabled. Adopting ISO 15118’s standards will ensure communication features encryption, decryption, and two-way authentication. Technical advancements toward batteries developing high power energy and heat dissipation capabilities will be imperative to render them compatible with ultrafast charging.


  • Analysis Highlights
    • Electric Vehicle Highlights: 2023 and Top Predictions for 2024
    • Global EV Market Overview, 2023 and 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Top 10 Markets
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • EV Battery Overview
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • EV Charging Infrastructure Development: Top 5 Markets
  • Strategic Imperatives
    • Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
    • The Strategic Imperative 8
    • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the EV Industry
    • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline EngineTM
  • Research Scope and Segmentation
    • Research Scope
    • EV Segmentation
  • 2024 Global Economic Outlook
    • Top 10 Trends for 2024
    • Top 10 Growth Opportunities
    • Global GDP Growth: Mild Global Growth Slowdown from 3.0% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024 as Key Economies Lose Growth Momentum
    • Inflation and Interest Rates: Headline Inflation will Continue to Decline; H2 2024 will Shift Towards Rate Cuts for Advanced ECONOMIES
    • Currency Trajectory: Dollar to Remain Strong in H1 2024; Emerging Market Currencies to Get Boost from Q3 2024 Onwards
    • OIL Markets: Q1 OPEC+ Oil Production Cuts; NON-OPEC Production to Rise
    • Labor Market: Moderate Unemployment Uptick; Positive Expectations over Market Sentiment to Support Labor Hoarding
    • Critical Minerals Supplies: Need for ECONOMIC Resiliency Will Bolster Cross-border and Cross-industry Partnerships
    • North America: Economic Slowdown AMIDST Discretionary Spending Pullback and Elevated Interest Rates
    • Western Europe: Moderate Growth Pick-up as Inflation Headwinds Ease Gradually; Rebuilding Fiscal Buffers to Take Precedence
    • Middle East: Non-oil Growth Driven by Economic Diversification to Limit the Pullback Caused by a Slowdown in Global Oil Markets
    • Asia: Emerging Economies to Drive Growth Momentum; Fiscal Measures to Support Chinese Economic Recovery
  • Upcoming Trends
    • Key Trends in the EV Market for 2024
    • Na-ion and Solid-state Batteries Enter the EV Mass Market
    • Gigacasting in EV Manufacturing
    • Falling EV Prices
    • AI in EV Charging
    • V2G-compatible Vehicles
    • Battery Repair and Replacement
  • EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: Europe
    • EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
    • European EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • The European Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
  • EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: Americas
    • EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
    • Americas EV Market, 2023 And 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • The US Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
  • EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: China
    • EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
    • Chinese EV Market: 2023 and 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • The Chinese Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
  • EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: APAC (excluding China)
    • EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
    • APAC EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
    • The APAC Powertrain Mix in the Next Decade
  • EV Market Overview and Prediction to 2024e: MEA
    • EV Highlights: 2023 and 2024e
    • MEA EV Market, 2023 and 2024e
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key Countries
    • EV Growth and Penetration: Key OEMs
  • Growth Opportunity Universe
    • Growth Opportunity 1: EV Pricing Will Match Pre-incentive Prices and Compete with Conventional Vehicles
    • Growth Opportunity 2: Expansion into EV Emerging Markets
    • Growth Opportunity 3: EV Battery Repair and Replacement for First-generation EVs
  • Conclusions
    • Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • Next Steps
    • Your Next Steps
    • Why Frost, Why Now?

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