North American Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities

North American Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Growth Opportunities

This Frost & Sullivan study covers the Class 4-8 transmission replacement aftermarket in North America and forecasts market size from 2023 to 2029. The base year is 2022, and the study period is from 2019 to 2029. The study analyzes key medium-duty (MD) and heavy-duty (HD) truck transmission replacement trends in the aftermarket and examines the new, used, rebuild, and remanufactured product segments. Market forecasts are derived from miles driven, usage patterns, replacement rates, new truck sales, and total vehicles in operation (VIO), including a breakdown of the transmission replacement aftermarket by unit shipment, revenue, distribution channel, and price. In addition, the study looks at the competitive environment and the market share of the top participants, including supplier profiles. Traditional manual transmission will decline during the forecast period in favor of automatic and automated manual transmission, which offer enhanced performance and drivability. MD trucks are further along in the shift to automatics compared to the HD truck segment. Competitors in the transmission aftermarket are expected to shift focus from manuals in favor of automatics in the short-medium term.


  • Strategic Imperatives
    • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
    • The Strategic Imperative 8
    • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
    • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis
    • Scope of Analysis
    • Key Questions This Study Will Answer
    • Vehicle and Market Segmentation
    • Product Segmentation and Definitions
    • Key Competitors
    • Market Structure
    • Key Findings
  • Demand Analysis
    • VIO Forecast by Class
      • Table Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: VIO Forecast by Class, North America, 2019-2029
    • VIO Transmission Share
    • Class 4-8 Electric Truck Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Electric Truck Forecast, North America, 2022 and 2029
    • Growth Drivers
    • Growth Restraints
    • CASE Impact on the Class 4-8 Transmission Replacement Aftermarket
    • Summary of Trends by Transmission and Replacement Type
  • Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Forecast
    • Key Takeaways
    • Growth Metrics
    • Forecast Assumptions
    • Total Revenue and Unit Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Total Revenue and Unit Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • Total Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Total Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2019-2029
    • Total Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Commercial Vehicle Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Total Unit Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2019-2029
  • Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Forecast
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 4-6 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 4-6 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 7-8 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 7-8 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Pricing Analysis Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: MD Price Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Pricing Analysis Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Automatic Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: HD Price Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
  • Class 4-8 Automated Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Forecast
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Automated Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automated Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: HD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Automated Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: HD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Pricing Analysis Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Automated Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: HD Price Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
  • Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket Forecast
    • Growth Metrics
    • Revenue and Unit Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 4-6 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 4-6 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 7-8 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Unit Forecast by Replacement Type
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: Unit Forecast by Replacement Type for Class 7-8 Vehicles, North America, 2019-2029
    • MD Pricing Analysis Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: MD Price Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
    • HD Pricing Analysis Forecast
      • Table Class 4-8 Manual Transmission Replacement Aftermarket: HD Price Forecast, North America, 2019-2029
  • Competitive Environment and Distribution
    • Competitive Environment
    • Remanufactured Transmission Market Share
    • Transmission Competitor Benchmark
    • Distribution Analysis by Channel Type
  • Supplier Profiles
    • ATC Drivetrain
    • Dynamic Manufacturing Inc.
    • Certified Transmission
    • Jasper Engine and Transmission
    • ETE Reman
    • AWTEC
    • Moveras
    • Transaxle
    • Camarota
    • ATR
    • TRC
    • LKQ Corporation
    • Allison Transmission
    • Eaton
    • ZF Friedrichshafen AG
  • Growth Opportunity Universe
    • Growth Opportunity 1-Connectivity
    • Growth Opportunity 2-Electrification
    • Growth Opportunity 3-Remanufacturing
  • Next Steps
    • Your Next Steps
    • Why Frost, Why Now?

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