Latin America Power & Energy Outlook, 2023

Latin America Power & Energy Outlook, 2023


Future Growth Potential Enhanced by an Accelerated Energy Transition Global Context and the Advancements in Renewable Energy Deployment


While the world witnesses unprecedented policies and investment announcements to accelerate the energy transition—like the Inflation Reduction Act, the Green Deal Industrial Plan, and China's latest Five-year Plan—what happens in Latin America? Will the region join the race for decarbonization seen in the rest of the world? How does that affect the power generation matrix to 2030?

The answers are mixed. Despite belonging to the same region, each country has a reality all its own, conditioned by resource availability, its economy, and, most importantly, the government in office. Nonetheless, figures show that RE has become a common denominator for regional power generation expansion. The economics and excellent resources for wind and solar encourage Latin American countries to achieve a leading role in the new green hydrogen economy, more necessary and feasible than ever in the context of the Russo-Ukrainian War.

The region is taking a step forward in the energy transition journey. Distributed generation has taken off in a dozen countries with no signs of turning back. The renewable corporate PPAs market is advancing, becoming the leading force for wind and solar development in Chile, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, and Mexico. Green hydrogen projects are starting across a diversity of applications. At the same time, governments enact new regulations supporting batteries, EVs, green hydrogen, and offshore wind, while Brazil reaffirms its ambition of fully deregulating its retail power market.

This Frost & Sullivan 2023 Outlook covers the Latin America Power and Energy market from 2020 to 2030, with 2022 as the base year. We highlight the main trends shaping the market in the current decade and offer power generation investment and installation forecasts segmented by generation technology across key electricity markets.

In the growth opportunities universe section, we identify prospects for market participants to expand their businesses by providing standardized PPAs for SMEs, decarbonization energy solutions for C&I customers, and distributed generation services.


  • Analysis Highlights
    • Research Scope
    • The 2022 Latin American Power and Energy Market—Forecast vs. Actual
    • Top Predictions for 2023
  • Strategic Imperatives
    • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
    • The Strategic Imperative 8™
    • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Agricultural Biologicals Industry
    • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
  • Growth Environment
    • Key Power and Energy Industry Trends in Latin America
    • Trend 1—Decentralization Going Mainstream
    • Trend 2—Decarbonization Reaching the Latin American Transport Sector
    • Trend 3—Latin America Approaching its First GW Hours (GWh) of Front-of-the-meter (FTM) Storage with More to Come
    • Trend 4—Implications of the Russo-Ukrainian War pose long-term opportunities
    • Trend 5—Latin American Countries Keen to Enter the Green H2 Economy
    • Trend 6—Latin American Grids under Strain
    • Glimpses into the Future
  • Power Generation Investment and Capacity Metrics
    • Power Generation by Country
    • Power Generation Capacity Forecast
    • Annual Power Generation Cumulative Capacity
    • Power Generation Investment Forecast
    • Power Generation Investment by Country
      • Table Power and Energy: Annual Investment by Country, Latin America, 2020–2030
    • Power Capacity Trends
  • Generation Source Outlooks
    • Latin America Biomass Market Snapshot
    • Latin America BTM Solar Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Utility-scale Solar Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Coal Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Oil/Diesel Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Natural Gas Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Hydropower Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Nuclear Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Wind Market Snapshot
    • Latin America Geothermal Market Snapshot
  • Country-level Predictions
    • Argentina—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Argentina—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • Brazil—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Brazil—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • Chile—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Chile—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • Colombia—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Colombia—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • Mexico—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Mexico—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • Peru—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • Peru—Power and Energy Market Analysis
    • RoLAm—Power and Energy Market Forecast
    • RoLAm—Power and Energy Market Analysis
  • Growth Opportunity Universe
    • Growth Opportunity 1: Energy Service Decarbonization for C&I Customers
    • Growth Opportunity 2: Standardized RE PPAs for Small and Medium Enterprises
    • Growth Opportunity 3: Operational Excellence-based Business Models to Propel Distributed Solar PV
  • Key Conclusions
  • Appendix
    • Abbreviations and Acronyms
  • Next Steps
    • Your Next Steps
    • Why Frost, Why Now?

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