Global Buy Now, Pay Later Growth Opportunities

Global Buy Now, Pay Later Growth Opportunities

Customers’ payment preference has shifted from credit to debit, which changed their shopping habits away from bulk credit card payments.
Zero-interest fees and flexible repayment plans are among the factors that customers consider when choosing a pay-later method. The buy now, pay later (BNPL) payment approach has emerged as an alternative credit payment—especially for younger consumers who often have a limited credit history and low credit scores. BNPL enables them to make purchases without paying the total amount upfront. This credit solution allows consumers to split payment into 3 or 4 installments over a period up to 2 months with no interest charged.

BNPL providers are emerging, primarily on the strength of their next-generation platforms and well-suited credit underwriting model that are designed to serve customers of various credit levels. Additionally, these platforms integrate seamlessly with a wide range of merchants across industry, size, and order value. This key factor will create more value for both consumers and merchants, drive repeat use of BNPL platforms, and consequently increase transaction value.

The global BNPL market experienced growth in 2021 and is on track to achieve a global transaction value of $656.34 billion in 2026, mainly driven by an increase in eCommerce transactions and the growing adoption of BNPL services among merchants and customers, especially in the North America and Europe. Additionally, an increase in funding for technology platforms and international market expansion in Asia-Pacific, particularly Australia, Japan, and India, will boost market growth.

This study covers the BNPL market in 4 key global regions: North and Latin America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Africa and Middle East. The study covers a market overview based on online and physical/in-store merchants, growth opportunities for players in the BNPL industry, and insights into key regional companies. Market forecast discussions and total transaction volume forecasts are based on the market’s growth drivers and restraints. The study period is 2020–2026 and forecast span 2022–2026 using a base year of 2021.


  • Strategic Imperatives
    • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
    • The Strategic Imperative 8™
    • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Global Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) Industry
    • Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis
    • Scope of Analysis
    • Market Definitions
    • Central Questions this Study will Answer
    • Market Segmentation
    • Key Competitors
    • Distribution Channel
    • Key Growth Metrics
    • Growth Drivers
    • Growth Restraints
    • Forecast Assumptions
    • Transaction Value Forecast
      • Table BNPL: Transaction Value Forecast, Global, 2020–2026
    • Transaction Value Forecast by Segment
      • Table BNPL: Transaction Value Forecast by Segment, 2020–2026
    • Transaction Value Forecast by Region
      • Table BNPL: Transaction Value Forecast by Region, 2020–2026
    • Transaction Value Forecast Analysis
    • Transaction Value Forecast Analysis by Region
    • Pricing Trends Analysis
    • Competitive Environment
    • Revenue Share
    • Revenue Share Analysis
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis— Online Merchant
    • Key Growth Metrics
    • Transaction Value Forecast
      • Table Online BNPL Merchant: Transaction Value Forecast, Global, 2020–2026
    • Transaction Value Forecast by Region
      • Table Online BNPL Merchant: Transaction Value Forecast by Region, Global, 2020–2026
    • Online BNPL Transaction Value Forecast Analysis
    • Online BNPL Transaction Value Forecast Analysis by Region
  • Growth Opportunity Analysis— Physical/In-Store Merchant
    • Key Growth Metrics
    • Transaction Value Forecast
      • Table In-Store BNPL Merchant: Transaction Value Forecast, Global, 2020–2026
    • Transaction Value Forecast by Region
      • Table In-Store BNPL Merchant: Transaction Value Forecast by Region, Global, 2020–2026
    • In-Store BNPL Transaction Value Forecast Analysis
    • In-Store BNPL Transaction Value Forecast Analysis by Region
  • Market Analysis by Region
    • North and Latin America—Market Analysis
    • Europe—Market Analysis
    • APAC—Market Analysis
    • Africa and the Middle East—Market Analysis
  • Companies to Watch
    • Company Profile Assessment
    • Klarna
    • Affirm
    • Afterpay
    • Zip
    • ACI Worldwide
    • Openpay
  • Growth Opportunity Universe
    • Growth Opportunity 1: Business-to-Business (B2B) Credit Product for Revenue Growth
    • Growth Opportunity 2: Omnichannel Technology and Data Collection for Holistic Customer Experience
    • Growth Opportunity 3: Expansion to Emerging Markets to Enhance Merchant and Customer Base
  • The Last Word
    • Conclusions and Recommendations
    • 3 Big Predictions
  • Next Steps
    • Your Next Steps
    • Why Frost, Why Now?

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