Demand for building envelope products in North America is forecast to decline at an annual average rate of 2.1% to US$92.8 billion in 2027. This represents a major reversal from the rapid growth of the 2017-2022 period, due in part to surging prices in 2021 and 2022. Going forward, prices are expected to moderate significantly from their peak in 2022, although they will remain above pre-pandemic levels.
While market value will decline significantly in the near term as prices moderate, growth in real terms will resume later in the forecast period due to expected rebounds in commercial building construction and housing starts in the large US market.
Rebounding US Commercial Building Construction Will Bolster Demand for Some Products
Commercial building construction in the US is expected to rebound following three straight years of declines, a result of the pandemic’s detrimental effect on in-office work, travel, entertainment, and in-person shopping. As most of the population returns to pre-pandemic behaviors, building owners are expected to engage in renovations that had been delayed during the previous years, while greater investment in new commercial buildings such as hotels will also occur. This growth will in turn boost demand for products used primarily in the commercial building market. For instance, exterior wall water-resistant barriers (WRBs) will be the only air and water barrier product forecast to experience demand growth due to the frequent use of fluid-applied barriers for commercial buildings, where high performance, continuous seals are important.
Regional Building Codes Will Lead to Rapid Adoption of Solar Roofing
While the outlook for most major roofing materials will be hampered by the high levels of reroofing activity that occurred in 2020 and 2021 (the result of both high levels of storm activity in those years and the pandemic-related surge in home renovations) some small volume roofing products will experience healthy gains as they are increasingly adopted by homeowners and building owners. The most notable of these products is solar roofing, demand for which is anticipated to rise at a fast rate. Demand will be driven by current and future adoption of “green” building codes in various parts of the region.
California’s CALGreen building code, for instance, is the first statewide “green” building code in the US, and more states are expected to follow suit in the future. California’s adoption of the building codes requires nearly all newly built and substantially renovated structures to meet zero net energy criteria (meaning that a building must generate as much energy as it uses). Installing solar roofing can allow home or building owners the ability to generate enough electricity to satisfy the structure’s energy consumption.
Study Description
This Freedonia study analyzes the North American (US & Canada) building envelope industry. It presents historical demand data (2012, 2017 and 2022) and forecasts (2027 and 2032) by country (US, Canada), product (windows & exterior doors, roofing, siding, insulation, air & water barriers – including flashing, roof underlayment, exterior wall water-resistive barriers and air barriers, and below-grade waterproofing), market (residential, commercial), and by various product materials. Demand for all products is measured in US$ value terms and in unit terms (except air & water barriers). The study also evaluates factors that will influence building envelope demand in North America and profiles key industry participants, such as Carlisle Companies, Owens Corning, and CertainTeed.
Executive Summary
Table Figure 1-1. North American Building Envelope Market Overview
Short Term Analysis
Economic Forecast
Table Global Gross Domestic Product, 2020 - 2024
Table Figure 2-1. Real GDP by Region, 2020 - 2023
Short Term Construction Industry Outlook
Table Global Construction Expenditures, 2020 - 2024
Short Term Building Envelope Industry Trends
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2020 - 2024
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Market, 2020 - 2024
Table Figure 2-2. North America: Building Envelope Demand, 2020 - 2024
Overview
What Is the Building Envelope?
Study Scope
Importance of the Building Envelope
Historical Demand & Market Volatility
Table North America: Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2012 - 2022
Table Figure 3-1. North America: Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2008 - 2022
Regional Trends
North American Demand
Table North America: Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 3-2. North America: Building Envelope Demand by Country, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
United States
Table United States: Building Envelope Demand by Component & Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table United States: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Component & Market, 2019 - 2026
Canada
Table Canada: Building Envelope Demand by Component & Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table Canada: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Component & Market, 2019 - 2026
Demand by Component
Table North America: Building Envelope Demand by Component, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Component, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 3-3. North America: Building Envelope Demand by Component, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Markets Overview (Residential vs. Commercial)
Table North America: Building Envelope Demand by Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Market, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 3-4. North America: Building Envelope Demand by Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Materials Competition
Table North America: Building Envelope Demand by Material, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Demand by Material, 2019 - 2026
Pricing Trends
Table North America: Building Envelope Price Deflator & Prices by Product, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Envelope Building Envelope Price Deflator & Prices by Product, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 3-5. North America: Building Envelope Average Price Growth by Products, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Global Building Envelope Market
Regional Trends
Table Figure 3-6. Global Building Envelope Demand Share by Region, 2022
Product Demand
Table Figure 3-7. Global Building Envelope Demand Share by Product, 2022
Factors Impacting the Building Envelope Market
Building Construction Trends
Key Trends & Outlook
Table North America: Building Construction Expenditures by Country & Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Building Construction Expenditures by Country & Market, 2019 - 2026
New Construction
Table Figure 4-1. North America: New Building Construction Expenditures by Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Building Repair & Renovation
Table Figure 4-2. North America: Building Repair & Renovation Expenditures by Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Storm-Driven Replacement
Table Figure 4-3. North America Weather-Related Reroofing Demand by Type, 2008 - 2022
Building Standards & Regulations
Building Codes
Green Building Certification
Health & Safety Regulations
Labor Supply Issues
Sustainability Initiatives
Recycling & Recycled Content
Building Heating & Cooling
Product Emissions
Energy Efficient Production & Transportation
Windows & Exterior Doors
Scope & Product Description
Table Figure 5-1. Windows & Doors: Product Examples
Role in Building Envelope
Table Figure 5-2. Windows & Doors: Key Functions for the Building Envelope
Regional Trends
Demand Overview
Table North America: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Country, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Window & Exterior Door Demand by Country, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 5-3. North America: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Country, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
United States
Table United States: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, Material, &Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table United States: Annual Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, Material, &Market, 2019 - 2026
Canada
Table Canada: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, Material, &Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table Canada: Annual Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, Material, &Market, 2019 - 2026
Products
Demand Overview
Table North America: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Window & Exterior Door Demand by Product, 2019 - 2026
Windows
Table Figure 5-4. North America: Window Demand by Country, 2000 - 2027
Doors
Table Figure 5-5. North America: Door Demand by Country, 2000 - 2027
Product & Material Trends
Table North America: Exterior Window & Door Demand by Material, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Exterior Window & Door Demand by Material, 2019 - 2026
Table Figure 5-6. North America: Exterior Window & Door Demand by Material, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Markets
Demand Overview
Table North America: Window & Exterior Door Demand by Market, 2012, 2017, 2022, 2027, &2032
Table North America: Annual Window & Exterior Door Demand by Market, 2019 - 2026
Residential
Table Figure 5-7. North America: Residential Exterior Window & Door Demand by Country, 2000 - 2027
Commercial
Table Figure 5-8. North America: Commercial Exterior Window & Door Demand by Country, 2000 - 2027