Tobacco in South Africa

Tobacco in South Africa


Following the dynamic growth seen in tobacco products sales in 2021, which helped the market recoup all the current value losses it suffered due to the pandemic in 2020, a much less dynamic performance was seen in current value terms in 2022, with volume sales declining in this year. The COVID-19 restrictions placed a major strain on legal sales of tobacco in 2020, strongly boosting illicit sales in this year. As the South Africa economy works to recover, the attraction of the illicit market rem...

Euromonitor International's Tobacco in South Africa report offers a comprehensive guide to the size and shape of the market at a national level. It provides the latest retail sales data 2018-2022, allowing you to identify the sectors driving growth. It identifies the leading companies, the leading brands and offers strategic analysis of key factors influencing the market - be the new legislative, distribution or pricing issues. Forecasts to 2027 illustrate how the market is set to change.

Product coverage: Cigarettes, Cigarettes (Illicit+Legal), Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco, Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco.

Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

Why buy this report?
* Get a detailed picture of the Tobacco market;
* Pinpoint growth sectors and identify factors driving change;
* Understand the competitive environment, the market’s major players and leading brands;
* Use five-year forecasts to assess how the market is predicted to develop.


Tobacco in South Africa
Euromonitor International
June 2023
List Of Contents And Tables
TOBACCO IN SOUTH AFRICA
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Tobacco in 2022: The big picture
2022 key trends
Competitive landscape
Retailing developments
What next for tobacco?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2017-2022
MARKET DATA
Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
CIGARS, CIGARILLOS AND SMOKING TOBACCO IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Fine cut tobacco demand increases as price-sensitivity rises
Cigarillos offer diverse flavours, cigar demand declining
Bongani Cigars and Santa Bras emerge with lower-priced products
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Health-conscious consumers will put pressure on cigars, cigarillos and pipe tobacco
Brand loyalty central to longevity as tobacco control measures increase
International players dominate despite inflation, increasing import costs and rising prices
CATEGORY DATA
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 37 Sales of Cigars by Size: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 38 Sales of Cigarillos by Price Platform 2017-2022
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars and Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 41 NBO Company Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 42 LBN Brand Shares of Cigars: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 43 NBO Company Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 44 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarillos: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 45 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 46 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 47 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 48 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 49 NBO Company Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 50 LBN Brand Shares of Fine Cut Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 51 Distribution of Cigars and Cigarillos by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 52 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
SMOKELESS TOBACCO, E-VAPOUR PRODUCTS AND HEATED TOBACCO IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
British American Tobacco and Philip Morris leading the charge in next-generation products
Strong growth for e-vapour products offering flavour diversity in an unregulated area of the market
Tax-free e-liquids grow as cessation programmes gain popularity
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Next-generation product sales could be impacted by stricter control measures
Manufacturers to experience first tax hikes, likely resulting in price increases
As price-sensitive younger consumers weigh the benefits of disposables they are boosting demand for these products
CATEGORY INDICATORS
Table 57 Number of Adult Vapers 2017-2022
CATEGORY DATA
Table 58 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 59 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 60 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: Volume 2017-2022
Table 61 Sales of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 62 Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2017-2022
Table 63 Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 66 Sales of E-Liquids by Nicotine Strength: % Value 2019-2022
Table 67 NBO Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 68 LBN Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 69 NBO Company Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of E-Vapour Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 71 NBO Company Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 72 LBN Brand Shares of Tobacco Heating Devices: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Heated Tobacco: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 75 Distribution of Smokeless Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 76 Distribution of E-Vapour Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: Volume 2022-2027
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Heated Tobacco: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 81 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
CIGARETTES IN SOUTH AFRICA
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Illicit trade still accounting for a quarter of cigarette sales in 2022
Tobacco supply problems and industry restructuring due to pandemic-induced illicit sales boom
Further cigarette declines expected in the face of competition from new-generation products
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Tough climate for cigarette players
Tobacco control measures to tighten with new Bill
Health and wellness trends will negatively impact cigarette sales
TAXATION AND PRICING
Taxation rates
Table 10 Taxation and Duty Levies 2017-2022
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 3 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
CATEGORY DATA
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2017-2022
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 20 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2018-2022
Table 21 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2019-2022
Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2017-2022
Table 23 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2017-2022
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2022-2027
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2022-2027
Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2022-2027

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