Motorcycle is a two-wheeled or three-wheeled vehicle driven by a gasoline engine and steered by the front wheel with a handlebar, which is light, flexible and fast. According to CRI's analysis, Southeast Asia is the region with the highest per capita motorcycle ownership in the world, and Vietnam occupies a relatively high market share in the Southeast Asian motorcycle market.
Vietnam has a long and narrow terrain, with a high topography in the west and a low topography in the east. 75 percent of the territory is mountainous and highland. Moreover, Vietnam lacks good public transportation and the roads are in poor condition, which makes it more suitable for motorcycles as transportation. At the same time, Vietnam is a developing country with low per capita disposable income, so it cannot afford expensive cars and can only choose to buy motorcycles, which are more economical.
Vietnam has sufficient labor force and low production cost, which attracts global motorcycle manufacturers to shift their production capacity to Vietnam. According to CRI's analysis, Honda has successively built motorcycle production bases in Vietnam's Vinh Phuc and Ha Nam provinces with an annual output of 2.5 million units for domestic consumption and export demand. Suzuki has also established a number of motorcycle production plants in Dong Nai Province, Vietnam.
Vietnam is currently one of the top four countries in the world with the highest consumption of motorcycles, after India, China and Indonesia. Motorcycles are the main means of transportation for Vietnamese, accounting for more than 85% of the total motor vehicles in the country. According to CRI's analysis, the CAGR of motorcycle sales in Vietnam from 2018-2022 is -5.4%, and in 2020, hit by the epidemic, Vietnam's motorcycle sales decreased significantly by 16.66% year-on-year. the CAGR of motorcycle production in Vietnam from 2018-2022 is -2.0%, and Vietnam's motorcycle production decreases year-on-year from 2018-2021. Especially in 2019, production decreases by 9.53% year-on-year, with production of only 3.26 million units. in 2022, Vietnam's motorcycle market picks up, with production increasing by 11.64% year-on-year to about 3.323 million units, but still not as much as the motorcycle production of 3.603 million units in 2018.
Vietnam has the fourth largest two-wheeler market in the world, behind India, China and Indonesia. After a sharp decline in motorcycle sales in Vietnam in 2020 due to the impact of Covid-19, the market has rebounded in the past two years, achieving a strong recovery. According to CRI's forecast, in the future, as the impact of the Covid-19 epidemic fades, the economy gradually recovers, and the rapid popularity of electric motorcycles, Vietnam's motorcycle market will still have some room for future growth. CRI estimates that Vietnam's motorcycle sales could reach 3.28 million units by 2027, with a CAGR of 6.6% from 2023-2027.
According to CRI, the sales units of motorcycles will reach US$ 4621.51 thousand in 2032 and the CAGR in 2023 to 2032 is 6.6%.
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