Malaysia's GDP per capita is over US$ 10,000, ranking third in Southeast Asia. Malaysia's manufacturing and construction industries are leading in Southeast Asia. The cement industry is also one of the important industries in Malaysia.
The demand for cement in Malaysia remains strong, largely driven by ongoing major infrastructure projects. These projects are key pillars supporting the medium-to-long-term growth of the cement industry, indicating a potential increase in construction activities across Peninsular Malaysia.
Several factors contribute to the buoyancy of Malaysia's cement industry. Low inventory levels, along with a focus on emerging sectors like solar panels and electric vehicles, coupled with the anticipated recovery in China's manufacturing and property sectors, are expected to fuel future demand growth.
Recent trends indicate a robust performance in the cement market, with bulk cement prices experiencing a notable 24.7% year-on-year increase in August 2023. This surge contrasts with the three-year average price reported between 2019 and 2021, signaling the industry's strength and resilience.
Despite the promising outlook, the cement industry faces various challenges. Rising operational costs, driven by factors such as escalating raw material prices, soaring coal costs, and increased shipping expenses, pose significant challenges to businesses operating in the sector. Additionally, the appreciation of the US dollar against the ringgit further tightens profit margins.
The surge in coal prices is identified as a major contributor to the rise in cement prices, with forecasts indicating a continuation of this trend due to strong demand in ASEAN nations. The withdrawal of electricity subsidies for industrial customers exacerbates the situation, further increasing the cost of production.
Supply chain disruptions and regional disparities also complicate matters for the cement industry. Businesses importing cement or raw materials face challenges in maintaining sustainable profit margins, particularly in regions like Sarawak, where a shortage of cement, combined with escalating shipping costs and currency strength, leads to significantly higher prices compared to other parts of Malaysia.
Moreover, balancing supply and demand poses a significant challenge, particularly in regions experiencing rapid infrastructure development. Sarawak, for example, faces a surge in cement demand due to major infrastructure projects, necessitating local producers to ensure an adequate supply to meet escalating requirements.
In conclusion, while Malaysia's cement industry benefits from strong demand driven by infrastructure projects and emerging sectors, various challenges such as rising operational costs, supply chain disruptions, and regional disparities must be addressed to sustain growth and stability in the market. According to CRI, the cement production in Malaysia is projected to increase from 24.05 million metric tonnes in 2024 to 33.35 million metric tonnes by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.7%.
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