Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2027

Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2027

Factors such as growing demand for low emission commuting and governments supporting long range, zero emission vehicles through subsidies & tax rebates have compelled the manufacturers to provide electric vehicles around the world. This has led to a growing demand for electric vehicles in the market. Countries around the world have set up targets for emission reductions according to their own capacity. Also, increasing investments by governments across the globe to develop EV charging stations and Hydrogen fueling stations along with incentives offered to buyers will create opportunities for OEMs to expand their revenue stream and geographical presence.

The report titled 'Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2027' published by Bonafide Research identifies and discusses recent developments in electric mobility across the globe. The market that was recorded at a value of USD 268Billion in the year 2021 is anticipated to grow to cross USD 800 Billion in the forecasted period. This report not only serves with the facts, figures, and forecasts but also has a detailed study about the Covid-19 effect on the electric vehicle industry. Further, the market is anticipated to grow with more than 20% CAGR from 2022-2027.

Electric vehicles use one or more electric motors or traction motors for propulsion. Electric vehicles are a battery electric vehicle (BEV) or a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV). The BEV segment includes the vehicles that only use chemical energy stored in rechargeable batteries, with no secondary source of propulsion, while the PHEV segment considers whose battery can be recharged by plugging it into an external source of electric power, and by its on-board engine and generator. Globally, the BEV segment leads the market and is expected to reach over 76% in terms of volume, while the PHEV segment is to portray an anticipated CAGR of 18.19%, through the forecasted period.

The Asia Pacific market is expected to witness the fastest growth, followed by Europe and North America. The automotive industry in the countries such as China, Japan, and South Korea is inclined toward innovation, technology, and the development of the advanced electric vehicle. The EV market in Asia Pacific is projected to experience steady growth owing to the high demand for lower cost efficient and low-emission vehicles, while the North American and European market are fast growing markets due to the government initiatives and growing high-performance Passenger vehicle segment. However, relatively less number of EV charging stations and hydrogen fuel stations, higher costs involved in initial investments, and performance constraints could hamper the growth of global electric vehicle market. On the other hand, the least contributing regions of South America and Middle East & Africa together would be contributing nothing over 3%.

The global electric vehicle is majorly classified into two segment based on price, with the mid-priced vehicle class with limited and less emphasis on expensive features ruled the market with a share of over 70% in 2021. The small urban car will cost only USD 8,680 after incentives with a range of almost 200 miles. Companies are manufacturing comparatively less expensive vehicles, however, with the increase in the disposal income and government incentives; the market is likely to get inclined towards the luxury class segment which is expected to account for an approx share of 40% by end of the forecasted period. As the acknowledgment of commercial electric vehicles is increasing, the segment is likely to reach a market of over 800 Thousand Units by the end of 2027, while the passenger vehicle continues to lead the market. The market for an electric vehicle is potential given the longevity and price of the batteries.
Gaining popularity in 2018, the electric Go-Karting is expected to be the next big thing in the industry. The governments of various countries have formulated stringent CO2 emission norms that have increased the demand for electric vehicles. Besides, the governments are providing incentives and subsidies to encourage EV sales. Even though electric vehicles are a need of the hour, the market is hurdled highly because of the lack of infrastructure and the high manufacturing cost. The gap between the existing infrastructure and the required one for the electric vehicle to overtake the conventional vehicles is huge, becoming a major fuel for the range anxiety among the drivers. The lack of standardization in the charging load is also a major drawback for the global market. The standards differentiate even among the region such as China have GB/T while Japan follows CHAdeMO. Conversely, Korea follows the CCS standards in similar to Europe, and the US. Electric vehicle manufacturers are focusing on overcoming this obstacle by having their charging network.

Key players operating in the EV market include Tesla, BMW Group, Nissan Motor Corporation, Toyota Motor Corporation, Volkswagen AG, General Motors, Daimler AG, BYD Company Motors, and Ford Motor Company account for a major electric vehicle market share. Of all, Tesla, Nissan, and Toyota together accounted for 31.45% of the share in 2019. The other smaller and local players also play an important role with the mergers amend acquisitions around the industry.

The cost of EV batteries has been decreasing during the past decade due to technological advancements and the production of EV batteries on a mass scale in large volumes. This has led to a decrease in the cost of electric vehicles as EV batteries are one of the most expensive components of the vehicle. In 2010, the price of an EV battery was approximately USD 1,100 per kWh. However, by 2020, the price fell to approximately USD 137 per kWh, and it reached as low as USD 120 per kWh in 2021. The price of these batteries is as low as USD 100 per kWh in China. This is because of the reducing manufacturing costs of these batteries, reduced cathode material prices, higher production, etc. The prices of EV batteries are expected to fall to approximately USD 60 per kWh by 2030, which is expected to significantly reduce the prices of EVs, making them cheaper than conventional ICE vehicles.

Factors such as increase in demand for fuel-efficient, high-performance, & low-emission vehicles, stringent government rules & regulations toward vehicle emission along with reduction in cost of electric vehicle batteries and increasing fuel costs supplement growth of the electric vehicle market. Moreover, factors such as lack of charging infrastructure, high manufacturing cost, and range anxiety and serviceability are the factors expected to hamper growth of the EV market. Furthermore, factors such as technological advancements, proactive government initiatives and development of self-driving electric vehicle technology are expected to create ample opportunities for the key players operating in the electric vehicle market.

Gasoline being a fossil fuel is not a renewable source of energy, and is anticipated to get exhausted in the future. To support sustainable development, it is important to develop and use alternative sources of fuel. This involves use of electric vehicles, which do not use gas and are more economical than conventional vehicles. An electric vehicle converts over 50% of the electrical energy from the grid to power at the wheels, whereas the gas-powered vehicle only manages to convert about 17%–21% of the energy stored in gasoline. The demand for fuel-efficient vehicles has increased recently, owing to rise in price of petrol and diesel. This is attributed to depleting fossil fuel reserves and growth in tendency of companies to gain maximum profit from these oil reserves. Thus, these factors give rise to the need for advanced fuel-efficient technologies, leading to surge in demand for electrically powered vehicles for travel.

For instance, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced that they are working on new rules to decrease emissions of nitrogen oxide (NOx) and other pollutants from heavy-duty trucks. In addition, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) is adopting heavy-duty Low NOx Omnibus Regulation, aims to achieve a 90% reduction from current NOx emissions limits by 2027. Moreover, in Europe, European Union (EU) committed within the Paris agreement (COP21) to achieve its 20% greenhouse gas reduction target in 2020 for the second phase of the Kyoto Protocol. The EU has also set the target to achieve 40% greenhouse gas reduction by 2040 and net-zero by 2050.

In addition to that, significant number of initiatives taken by the government of various countries such as tax rebate, subsidies & grant, and other various non-financial benefits in terms of car registration, and access to car pool lane expected to drive the sale of electric vehicles in coming years. For instance, in November 2019, Germany car manufacturers have raised their cash incentives for electric cars to move away the transition from combustion engine to battery-powered engines to reduce harmful emission. Countries, such as U.S., China, and different countries in Europe, have registered significant growth in the sale of electric vehicle in the past few decades that in turn, will contribute to the market growth.

However, lack of charging infrastructure along with variations in charging load & lack of standardization are some of the major factors analyzed to hinder the market growth. Some of the electric vehicle manufacturer such as Tesla Inc. is focusing on global standardization of charging infrastructure to overcome this drawback. Nevertheless, rising adoption of electric vehicles in government and commercial sectors is anticipated to drive the market. For instance, in 2020, UK government has approved 200 electric buses with an ambition to make all buses fully electric by 2025 that could save nearly 7,400 tones of CO2 every year.

The market of electric vehicles is likely to be affected positively by the recent trend of self-driving trucks. Furthermore, the top OEMs similar as Volvo, Daimler Vera, and Tesla, are among others have been developing automatic-driving electric vehicles for the market. Therefore, technology regarding self- driving will surge the demand for electric vehicles in the long run owing to the colorful advantages similar as decreased accident threat, easy use, and presence of value- added features. This technology is anticipated to develop by the coming 5-6 times. Therefore, growth of self- driving electric vehicle technology is likely to bring growth opportunities for the market in the forthcoming time period. The awareness initiatives that have been taken to promote the use of electric vehicles, and the rising number of electric vehicle production plants have also contributed to the growth of the electric vehicle market.

Covid-19 Impact:
Globally, the COVID-19 pandemic has a savage effect on all types of markets. Especially, in the automotive sector, due to the restrictions on production and contraction of automobile sales, the market growth has reduced. But gradually after lockdowns, the market growth is increasing day-by-day for its advanced features. The electric vehicle market growth is raised by the adoption of EVs in the US, China, and European countries and demand for battery-operated vehicles. Globally, all the government’s goal is to have zero-emission vehicles and to reduce dependence on oil imports which are provided by electric vehicle market. Some factors to increase the demand for electric vehicles market value are establishing of charging infrastructure, the rise of residential units, lowering the price of batteries.

Companies Mentioned:
Aiways Automobile Europe GmbH, Arrival Limited, Ashok Leyland, Beijing Automobiles Industry Holding Corporative limited, Bentley Motors Limited, Blue Bird Corporation, BMW Group, BYD Company Motors, Changsha Sunda New Energy Technology Limited, Citroen, Daimler AG, Ford Motors, General Motors, Hyundai, Irizar, Lightening GT, Micro Mobility, MW Motors, NFI Group, Nikola Motor Company, Nio, Nissan Motor, PoleStar, Proterra, Rimac Automobiles, SAIC, Tata Motors, Tesla, Toyota Motor Corporation, VDL Groep, Volkswagen, Workhorse Group, Yutong, Zacua, Zhejiang Geely Holding Group

Considered In the Report
• Geography: Global
• Base year: 2021
• Historical year: 2016
• Estimated Year: 2022
• Forecasted year: 2025

Countries covered:
• North America (USA, Canada, Mexico)
• Europe (Germany, UK, France, Spain, Italy, Russia, Norway, Netherlands)
• Asia-Pacific (India, Japan, Australia, China, Korea)
• South America (Brazil, Argentina, Columbia, Chile)
• Middle East & Africa (UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa)

Aspects Covered In the Report
• Market Size By Value for the time period (2016-2027F)
• Market Size By Volume for the time period (2016-2027F)
• Market Share by Vehicle Type (Passenger & Light Commercial)
• Market Share by Propulsion Type (BEV & PHEV)
• Market Share by Sales Channel (2016, 2021 & 2027F)
• Market Share by Charging Type (Normal & Fast)
• Market Share by Region
• Market Share by Country

Key Points Covered in this report:
• Market Evolution through value and volume CAGRs at different verticals
• Detailed discussion on the market dynamics that influence the market and the possible opportunities
• In sights on the market leader's performance including market shares, strategies, products, financial positions, etc

The approach of the report:
We keep an eye on evolving markets and try to evaluate the potential of the products and services. If we find the market interesting, we start working on it and create the desired table of content, considering all aspects of the business. We start by creating separate questionnaires for C-level executives, national/regional sales personnel, company owners, dealers, distributors, and end-users. Once the questionnaires have been finalized, we start collecting the primary data (mostly through phone calls) and try to understand the market dynamics regionally or tier-wise. This process gives us in-depth details of the market, including all present companies, the top-performing products with reasons why they dominate; we get the details of new players and their innovative approaches; market trends; dynamics; and all the small details of the market. After the collection of primary inputs, we then cross-check the same with secondary sources that include associations, trade journals, annual reports, paid databases, newspapers, magazines, press releases, government sources, etc. From this, we get a rough estimate of the market and start checking existing product price variants, trade, production, raw material scenarios, policies and regulatory landscape, etc. Then, to finalize the market, we start collecting financials of each player present in the market, including limited, private limited, and LLPs. Moreover, we perform cross-industry and cross-region analysis of the product, and based on collected primary inputs and using statistical modeling, we start forecasting the market. We follow our forecasting algorithm, which is unique for each product but gives more weight age to primary inputs. At the same time, the content team starts preparing company profiles, market dynamics, market trends, five forces, PEST analysis, etc. Once the data is verified by the data expert, the team (primary team, content team, and data team) together crosscheck the segmentations, validate the market, and then the designing team starts plotting the graphs. Once the file is ready, the content team completes the report and makes sure that all the discussed points have been covered and provides their valuable inputs in the form of strategic recommendations for new as well as existing players. The QC team then checks the overall report that includes spell check, data verification, and makes the same dispatch ready and error-free.

Intended Audience
This report can be useful to industry consultants, manufacturers, suppliers, associations & organizations related to the electric vehicle industry, government bodies, and other stakeholders to align their market-centric strategies. In addition to marketing & presentations, it will also increase competitive knowledge about the industry.



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